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This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-09 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

Consider jointly Gaussian random variables whose conditional independence structure is specified by a graphical model. If we observe realizations of the variables, we can compute the covariance matrix, and it is well known that the support…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Ashish Katiyar , Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

Consider the problem of learning undirected graphical models on trees from corrupted data. Recently Katiyar et al. showed that it is possible to recover trees from noisy binary data up to a small equivalence class of possible trees. Their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Marta Casanellas , Marina Garrote-López , Piotr Zwiernik

We consider the problem of modeling discrete-valued vector time series data using extensions of Chow-Liu tree models to capture both dependencies across time and dependencies across variables. Conditional Chow-Liu tree models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Sergey Kirshner , Padhraic Smyth , Andrew Robertson

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

We consider linear structural equation models that are associated with mixed graphs. The structural equations in these models only involve observed variables, but their idiosyncratic error terms are allowed to be correlated and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-10 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

Regression methods for interval-valued data have been increasingly studied in recent years. As most of the existing works focus on linear models, it is important to note that many problems in practice are nonlinear in nature and therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Chih-Ching Yeh , Yan Sun , Adele Cutler

We consider the problem of structure recovery in a graphical model of a tree where some variables are latent. Specifically, we focus on the Gaussian case, which can be reformulated as a well-studied problem: recovering a semi-labeled tree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Luc Devroye , Gabor Lugosi , Piotr Zwiernik

The benefits of diversifying risks are difficult to estimate quantitatively because of the uncertainties in the dependence structure between the risks. Also, the modelling of multidimensional dependencies is a non-trivial task. This paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-11 Jean-Philippe Bruneton

Linear structural equation models represent direct causal effects as directed edges and confounding factors as bidirected edges. An open problem is to identify the causal parameters from correlations between the nodes. We investigate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-07 Benito van der Zander , Marcel Wienöbst , Markus Bläser , Maciej Liśkiewicz

Tree-structured models are a powerful alternative to parametric regression models if non-linear effects and interactions are present in the data. Yet, classical tree-structured models might not be appropriate if data comes in clusters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

A general framework for dealing with both linear regression and clustering problems is described. It includes Gaussian clusterwise linear regression analysis with random covariates and cluster analysis via Gaussian mixture models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Giuliano Galimberti , Annamaria Manisi , Gabriele Soffritti

We develop a criterion to certify whether causal effects are identifiable in linear structural equation models with latent variables. Linear structural equation models correspond to directed graphs whose nodes represent the random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton

We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural equation models. We propose a simple ``trick'' based on statistical testing in linear models that can distinguish between ancestors and non-ancestors of any given variable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-15 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

Although regression trees were originally designed for large datasets, they can profitably be used on small datasets as well, including those from replicated or unreplicated complete factorial experiments. We show that in the latter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei-Yin Loh

In this paper, we investigate adaptive nonlinear regression and introduce tree based piecewise linear regression algorithms that are highly efficient and provide significantly improved performance with guaranteed upper bounds in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-30 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

We consider the problem of structure learning for linear causal models based on observational data. We treat models given by possibly cyclic mixed graphs, which allow for feedback loops and effects of latent confounders. Generalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Carlos Améndola , Philipp Dettling , Mathias Drton , Federica Onori , Jun Wu

An old problem in multivariate statistics is that linear Gaussian models are often unidentifiable, i.e. some parameters cannot be uniquely estimated. In factor (component) analysis, an orthogonal rotation of the factors is unidentifiable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-04 Aapo Hyvärinen , Ilyes Khemakhem , Ricardo Monti

The varying-coefficient model is a strong tool for the modelling of interactions in generalized regression. It is easy to apply if both the variables that are modified as well as the effect modifiers are known. However, in general one has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz , Matthias Schmid
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