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The block maxima method in extreme value theory consists of fitting an extreme value distribution to a sample of block maxima extracted from a time series. Traditionally, the maxima are taken over disjoint blocks of observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) is a framework applicable to many real world problems. In this work, we propose an approach to solve POMDPs with multimodal belief by relying on a policy that solves the fully observable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 András Attila Sulyok , Kristóf Karacs

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on i.i.d. observations and adversarial contamination. We introduce a multivariate extension of the trimmed-mean estimator and show its optimal performance under minimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

This article establishes a new and comprehensive estimation and inference theory for principal component analysis (PCA) under the weak factor model that allow for cross-sectional dependent idiosyncratic components under the nearly minimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Jianqing Fan , Yuling Yan , Yuheng Zheng

This paper develops computationally feasible methods for estimating random effects models in the context of regression modelling of multiple independent time series of discrete valued counts in which there is serial dependence. Given…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-10 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , C. McKendry , R. T. Dean

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Higher-order spectra (or polyspectra), defined as the Fourier Transform of a stationary process' autocumulants, are useful in the analysis of nonlinear and non Gaussian processes. Polyspectral means are weighted averages over Fourier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Tucker McElroy , Soumendra Lahiri

We provide various norm-based definitions of different types of cross-sectional dependence and the relations between them. These definitions facilitate to comprehend and to characterize the various forms of cross-sectional dependence, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-24 Gopal K Basak , Samarjit Das

Small instantons which increase the axion mass due to an appropriate modification of QCD at a UV scale $\Lambda_{\rm SI}$, can also enhance the effect of CP-violating operators to shift the axion potential minimum by an amount, $\theta_{\rm…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-08-30 Ravneet Bedi , Tony Gherghetta , Christophe Grojean , Guilherme Guedes , Jonathan Kley , Pham Ngoc Hoa Vuong

Consider the problem of estimating the Shannon entropy of a distribution over $k$ elements from $n$ independent samples. We show that the minimax mean-square error is within universal multiplicative constant factors of $$\Big(\frac{k }{n…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-19 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

The present manuscript is concerned with component-wise estimation of the positive power of ordered restricted standard deviation of two normal populations with certain restrictions on the means. We propose several improved estimators under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Somnath Mondal , Lakshmi Kanta Patra

The literature on statistical learning for time series often assumes asymptotic independence or "mixing" of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

Doubly robust (DR) estimation is a crucial technique in causal inference and missing data problems. We propose a novel Propensity score Augmentved Doubly robust (PAD) estimator to enhance the commonly used DR estimator for average treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Liangbo Lyu , Molei Liu

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

We show that the limiting variance of a sequence of estimators for a structured covariance matrix has a general form that appears as the variance of a scaled projection of a random matrix that is of radial type and a similar result is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaä

We consider the problem of estimating a regression function when a covariate is measured with error. Using the local polynomial estimator of Delaigle, Fan, and Carroll (2009) as a benchmark, we propose an alternative way of solving the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

We derive a feasible criterion for the bias-optimal selection of the tuning parameters involved in estimating the integrated volatility of the spot volatility via the simple realized estimator by Barndorff-Nielsen and Veraart (2009). Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-19 Giacomo Toscano , Maria Cristina Recchioni

In various statistical settings, the goal is to estimate a function which is restricted by the statistical model only through a conditional moment restriction. Prominent examples include the nonparametric instrumental variable framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 AmirEmad Ghassami , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky
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