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Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are receiving increasing attention in wind power forecasting due to their ability to effectively capture complex patterns in wind data. However, their forecasted errors are severely limited by the local optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Wenlong Liao , Fernando Porte-Agel , Jiannong Fang , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Zhe Yang , Gonghao Zhang

Rapidly growing wildfires have recently devastated societal assets, exposing a critical need for early warning systems to expedite relief efforts. Smoke detection using camera-based Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) offers a promising solution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Ryo Ide , Lei Yang

This letter proposes a data-driven method for estimating the probability of wind ramping events without exploiting the exact probability distribution function (PDF) of wind power. Actual wind data validates the proposed method.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Cheng Wang , Wei Wei , Jianhui Wang , Feng Qiu

Over the past decade, wind energy has gained more attention in the world. However, owing to its indirectness and volatility properties, wind power penetration has increased the difficulty and complexity in dispatching and planning of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Onder Eyecioglu , Batuhan Hangun , Korhan Kayisli , Mehmet Yesilbudak

A multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning is designed in this paper to forecast the joint cumulative distribution functions (JCDFs) of multiple security margins in power systems. Differing from existing multivariate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun , Wenqi Huang

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for designing and selecting sites for offshore wind farms. This paper investigates the effectiveness of various machine learning models in predicting offshore wind power for a site near the Gulf of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-19 Linhan Fang , Fan Jiang , Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

With the rising costs of conventional sources of energy, the world is moving towards sustainable energy sources including wind energy. Wind turbines consist of several electrical and mechanical components and experience an enormous amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Joyjit Chatterjee , Nina Dethlefs

An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-30 Wei Cui , Teng Ma , Lin Zhao , Yaojun Ge

Accurate ultra-short-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) ramp events is essential for maintaining grid stability in solar-integrated power systems, particularly under rapidly changing cloud conditions. This paper presents a generative…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-06 Siyuan Wang , Fengqi You

With industrial and technological development and the increasing demand for electric power, wind energy has gradually become the fastest-growing and most environmentally friendly new energy source. Nevertheless, wind power generation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Yasmeen Aldossary , Nabil Hewahi , Abdulla Alasaadi

Accurate, efficient prediction of wind flow with wake effects is crucial for wind-farm layout and power forecasting. Existing approaches-physical measurements, numerical simulations, physics-based models, and data-driven models-face…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-26 Dong Xu , Zhaobin Li , Xiaolei Yang , Peng Hou , Bruno Carmo , Xuerui Mao

In this paper, we propose a risk-based data-driven approach to optimal power flow (DROPF) with dynamic line rating. The risk terms, including penalties for load shedding, wind generation curtailment and line overload, are embedded into the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Cheng Wang , Rui Gao , Feng Qiu , Jianhui Wang , Linwei Xin

The variability of wind power supply can present substantial challenges to incorporating wind power into a grid system. Thus, Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) has been widely recognized as one of the most critical issues in wind power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Jingbo Zhou , Xinjiang Lu , Yixiong Xiao , Jiantao Su , Junfu Lyu , Yanjun Ma , Dejing Dou

While machine learning (ML) post-processing of convection-allowing model (CAM) output for severe weather hazards (large hail, damaging winds, and/or tornadoes) has shown promise for very short lead times (0-3 hours), its application to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Montgomery Flora , Samuel Varga , Corey Potvin , Noah Lang

Recent statistical postprocessing methods for wind speed forecasts have incorporated linear models and neural networks to produce more skillful probabilistic forecasts in the low-to-medium wind speed range. At the same time, these methods…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-18 Simon Hakvoort , Bastien Francois , Kirien Whan , Sjoerd Dirksen

High-quality wind power forecasting is crucial for the operation of modern power grids. However, prevailing data-driven paradigms either train a site-specific model which cannot generalize to other locations or rely on fine-tuning of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Hang Fan , Yu Shi , Zongliang Fu , Shuo Chen , Wei Wei , Wei Xu , Jian Li

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-05 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer…