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We show how hidden interesting subelections can be discovered in ordinal elections. An interesting subelection consists of a reasonably large set of voters and a reasonably large set of candidates such that the former have a consistent…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Łukasz Janeczko , Jérôme Lang , Grzegorz Lisowski , Stanisław Szufa

We propose a framework for strategic voting when a voter may lack knowledge about the preferences of other voters, or about other voters' knowledge about her own preference. In this setting we define notions of manipulation, equilibrium,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Zeinab Bakhtiari , Hans van Ditmarsch , Abdallah Saffidine

The colloquial phrase "partisan bias" encompasses multiple distinct conceptions of bias, including partisan advantage, packing & cracking, and partisan symmetry. All are useful and have their place, and there are several proposed measures…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-08 Alec Ramsay

I derive the probability that a vote cast in an Instant Runoff Voting election will change the election winner. I phrase that probability in terms of the candidates' expected vote totals, and then I estimate its magnitude for different…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Samuel Baltz

Voting is the aggregation of individual preferences in order to select a winning alternative. Selection of a winner is accomplished via a voting rule, e.g., rank-order voting, majority rule, plurality rule, approval voting. Which voting…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-18 Anne Carlstein

We experimentally study how redistribution choices are affected by positive and negative information regarding the behaviour of a previous participant in a dictator game with a taking option. We use the strategy method to identify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-01 Tanya O'Garra , Valerio Capraro , Praveen Kujal

Previous work on voter control, which refers to situations where a chair seeks to change the outcome of an election by deleting, adding, or partitioning voters, takes for granted that the chair knows all the voters' preferences and that all…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-20 Edith Hemaspaandra , Lane A. Hemaspaandra , Joerg Rothe

We consider distributed elections, where there is a center and $k$ sites. In such distributed elections, each voter has preferences over some set of candidates, and each voter is assigned to exactly one site such that each site is aware…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Arnold Filtser , Nimrod Talmon

We introduce a single-winner perspective on voting on matchings, in which voters have preferences over possible matchings in a graph, and the goal is to select a single collectively desirable matching. Unlike in classical matching problems,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Niclas Boehmer , Jessica Dierking

Estimating effects of spatially structured exposures is complicated by unmeasured spatial confounders, which undermine identifiability in spatial linear regression models unless structural assumptions are imposed. We develop a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Anik Burman , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Abhirup Datta

Our model describes competition between groups driven by the choices of self-interested voters within groups. Within a Poisson voting environment, parties observe aggregate support from groups and can allocate prizes or punishments to them.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Alastair Smith , Bruce Bueno de Mesquita , Tom LaGatta

In the context of modern sampling methods for redistricting, we define a natural measurement of the clustering of a political party, and we study how clustering affects the expected election outcome. We first prove general results and then…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-12 Kristopher Tapp

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

This paper examines voters' responses to the disclosure of electoral crime information in large democracies. I focus on Brazil, where the electoral court makes candidates' criminal records public before every election. Using a sample of…

General Economics · Economics 2019-12-24 Andre Assumpcao

In voting contexts, some new candidates may show up in the course of the process. In this case, we may want to determine which of the initial candidates are possible winners, given that a fixed number $k$ of new candidates will be added. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-02-17 Yann Chevaleyre , Jérôme Lang , Nicolas Maudet , Jérôme Monnot , Lirong Xia

Social choice theory offers a wealth of approaches for selecting a candidate on behalf of voters based on their reported preference rankings over options. When voters have underlying utilities for these options, however, using preference…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Luise Ge , Gregory Kehne , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Elections for public offices in democratic nations are large-scale examples of collective decision-making. As a complex system with a multitude of interactions among agents, we can anticipate that universal macroscopic patterns could emerge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-14 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

In this paper we extend some recent results on an operatorial approach to the description of alliances between political parties interacting among themselves and with a basin of electors. In particular, we propose and compare three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-05-24 F. Bagarello , F. Gargano

In district-based multi-party elections, electors cast votes in their respective districts. In each district, the party with maximum votes wins the corresponding seat in the governing body. Election Surveys try to predict the election…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Adway Mitra , Palash Dey

A {\em leader election} algorithm is an elimination process that divides recursively into tow subgroups an initial group of n items, eliminates one subgroup and continues the procedure until a subgroup is of size 1. In this paper the biased…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Hanene Mohamed