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This paper develops a nonparametric density estimator with parametric overtones. Suppose $f(x,\theta)$ is some family of densities, indexed by a vector of parameters $\theta$. We define a local kernel smoothed likelihood function which for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Nils Lid Hjort , M. C. Jones

Sampling-based motion planners perform exceptionally well in robotic applications that operate in high-dimensional space. However, most works often constrain the planning workspace rooted at some fixed locations, do not adaptively reason on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Tin Lai

We propose a computationally efficient alternative to generalized random forests (GRFs) for estimating heterogeneous effects in large dimensions. While GRFs rely on a gradient-based splitting criterion, which in large dimensions is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 David Fleischer , David A. Stephens , Archer Y. Yang

We initiate a novel approach to explain the predictions and out of sample performance of random forest (RF) regression and classification models by exploiting the fact that any RF can be mathematically formulated as an adaptive weighted K…

Regression with non-Euclidean responses -- e.g., probability distributions, networks, symmetric positive-definite matrices, and compositions -- has become increasingly important in modern applications. In this paper, we propose deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Kyum Kim , Yaqing Chen , Paromita Dubey

Fr\'echet regression is becoming a mainstay in modern data analysis for analyzing non-traditional data types belonging to general metric spaces. This novel regression method is especially useful in the analysis of complex health data such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-23 Abdul-Nasah Soale , Congli Ma , Siyu Chen , Obed Koomson

We study the estimation problem of distribution-on-distribution regression, where both predictors and responses are probability measures. Existing approaches typically rely on a global optimal transport map or tangent-space linearization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-17 Inga Girshfeld , Xiaohui Chen

Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Dan Nettleton , Zhengyuan Zhu

In this article, we introduce a kernel-based consensual aggregation method for regression problems. We aim to flexibly combine individual regression estimators $r_1, r_2, \ldots, r_M$ using a weighted average where the weights are defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sothea Has

Modern-day problems in statistics often face the challenge of exploring and analyzing complex non-Euclidean object data that do not conform to vector space structures or operations. Examples of such data objects include covariance matrices,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Hans-Georg Mueller

Random forest (RF) is one of the most popular methods for estimating regression functions. The local nature of the RF algorithm, based on intra-node means and variances, is ideal when errors are i.i.d. For dependent error processes like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Arkajyoti Saha , Sumanta Basu , Abhirup Datta

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mingshu Li , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Dhruv Desai , Joshua Rosaler , Snigdha Bhagat , Philip Sommer , Dhagash Mehta

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

We introduce a novel interpretable tree based algorithm for prediction in a regression setting. Our motivation is to estimate the unknown regression function from a functional decomposition perspective in which the functional components…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

Random Forests (RF) is a popular machine learning method for classification and regression problems. It involves a bagging application to decision tree models. One of the primary advantages of the Random Forests model is the reduction in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Sai K Popuri

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-13 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

Fr\'echet regression, or conditional Barycenters, is a flexible framework for modeling relationships between covariates (usually Euclidean) and response variables on general metric spaces, e.g., probability distributions or positive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Duc Toan Nguyen , César A. Uribe

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-12 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

New local linear estimators are proposed for a wide class of nonparametric regression models. The estimators are uniformly consistent regardless of satisfying traditional conditions of depen\-dence of design elements. The estimators are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Yuliana Linke , Igor Borisov , Pavel Ruzankin , Vladimir Kutsenko , Elena Yarovaya , Svetlana Shalnova

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert