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Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

The combination of deep neural nets and theory-driven models, which we call deep grey-box modeling, can be inherently interpretable to some extent thanks to the theory backbone. Deep grey-box models are usually learned with a regularized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Naoya Takeishi , Alexandros Kalousis

The goal of domain generalization algorithms is to predict well on distributions different from those seen during training. While a myriad of domain generalization algorithms exist, inconsistencies in experimental conditions -- datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Ishaan Gulrajani , David Lopez-Paz

In the 1980s a new, extraordinarily productive way of reasoning about algorithms emerged. In this paper, we introduce the term "outcome reasoning" to refer to this form of reasoning. Though outcome reasoning has come to dominate areas of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-02-16 Jordan Rodu , Michael Baiocchi

This paper introduces a novel data-free model extraction attack that significantly advances the current state-of-the-art in terms of efficiency, accuracy, and effectiveness. Traditional black-box methods rely on using the victim's model as…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Maor Biton Dor , Yisroel Mirsky

We analyze new generalization bounds for deep learning models trained by transfer learning from a source to a target task. Our bounds utilize a quantity called the majority predictor accuracy, which can be computed efficiently from data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Cuong N. Nguyen , Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh , Tal Hassner , Cuong V. Nguyen

Evaluating predictive models is a crucial task in predictive analytics. This process is especially challenging with time series data where the observations show temporal dependencies. Several studies have analysed how different performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-14 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Black box machine learning models are currently being used for high stakes decision-making throughout society, causing problems throughout healthcare, criminal justice, and in other domains. People have hoped that creating methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-24 Cynthia Rudin

To leverage machine learning in any decision-making process, one must convert the given knowledge (for example, natural language, unstructured text) into representation vectors that can be understood and processed by machine learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Shibo Yao

A key component of automated algorithm selection and configuration, which in most cases are performed using supervised machine learning (ML) methods is a good-performing predictive model. The predictive model uses the feature representation…

Machine learning models have been widely applied for material property prediction. However, practical application of these models can be hindered by a lack of information about how well they will perform on previously unseen types of…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-02-14 Gihan Panapitiya , Emily Saldanha

Adversarial examples, which are slightly perturbed inputs generated with the aim of fooling a neural network, are known to transfer between models; adversaries which are effective on one model will often fool another. This concept of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-13 George Adam , Romain Speciel

Most AI systems are black boxes generating reasonable outputs for given inputs. Some domains, however, have explainability and trustworthiness requirements that cannot be directly met by these approaches. Various methods have therefore been…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Hormoz Shahrzad , Babak Hodjat , Risto Miikkulainen

Transfer learning refers to the promising idea of initializing model fits based on pre-training on other data. We particularly consider regression modeling settings where parameter estimates from previous data can be used as anchoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Wessel N. van Wieringen , Harald Binder

When a model informs decisions about people, distribution shifts can create undue disparities. However, it is hard for external entities to check for distribution shift, as the model and its training set are often proprietary. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Marc Juarez , Samuel Yeom , Matt Fredrikson

Understanding generalization is crucial to confidently engineer and deploy machine learning models, especially when deployment implies a shift in the data domain. For such domain adaptation problems, we seek generalization bounds which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Adam Breitholtz , Fredrik D. Johansson

The performance of machine learning models relies heavily on the quality of input data, yet real-world applications often face significant data-related challenges. A common issue arises when curating training data or deploying models: two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Varun Babbar , Zhicheng Guo , Cynthia Rudin

Transfer learning, or domain adaptation, is concerned with machine learning problems in which training and testing data come from possibly different probability distributions. In this work, we give an information-theoretic analysis of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

When the available data for a target domain is limited, transfer learning (TL) methods can be used to develop models on related data-rich domains, before deploying them on the target domain. However, these TL methods are typically designed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Ricardo Ribeiro Pereira , Jacopo Bono , Hugo Ferreira , Pedro Ribeiro , Carlos Soares , Pedro Bizarro

We present an interpretable companion model for any pre-trained black-box classifiers. The idea is that for any input, a user can decide to either receive a prediction from the black-box model, with high accuracy but no explanations, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Danqing Pan , Tong Wang , Satoshi Hara
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