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Calibration of mean estimates for predictions is a crucial property in many applications, particularly in the fields of financial and actuarial decision-making. In this paper, we first review classical approaches for validating…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-29 Łukasz Delong , Mario Wüthrich

In this paper, we explore bounds on the expected risk when using deep neural networks for supervised classification from an information theoretic perspective. Firstly, we introduce model risk and fitting error, which are derived from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Binchuan Qi

Regression mixture models are widely studied in statistics, machine learning and data analysis. Fitting regression mixtures is challenging and is usually performed by maximum likelihood by using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-25 Faicel Chamroukhi

Within the machine learning community, the widely-used uniform convergence framework has been used to answer the question of how complex, over-parameterized models can generalize well to new data. This approach bounds the test error of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-05 Ryan Theisen , Jason M. Klusowski , Michael W. Mahoney

Modern data-driven and distributed learning frameworks deal with diverse massive data generated by clients spread across heterogeneous environments. Indeed, data heterogeneity is a major bottleneck in scaling up many distributed learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Amirhossein Reisizadeh , Khashayar Gatmiry , Asuman Ozdaglar

There is a long history in machine learning of model ensembling, beginning with boosting and bagging and continuing to the present day. Much of this history has focused on combining models for classification and regression, but recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ira Globus-Harris , Varun Gupta , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

Fairness in machine learning has received considerable attention. However, most studies on fair learning focus on either supervised learning or unsupervised learning. Very few consider semi-supervised settings. Yet, in reality, most machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Tao Zhang , Tianqing Zhu , Mengde Han , Jing Li , Wanlei Zhou , Philip S. Yu

Machine learning models are trained to minimize the mean loss for a single metric, and thus typically do not consider fairness and robustness. Neglecting such metrics in training can make these models prone to fairness violations when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Bobby Yan , Skyler Seto , Nicholas Apostoloff

In this paper, we consider the related problems of multicalibration -- a multigroup fairness notion and omniprediction -- a simultaneous loss minimization paradigm, both in the distributional and online settings. The recent work of Garg et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Haipeng Luo , Spandan Senapati , Vatsal Sharan

By transferring knowledge learned from seen/previous tasks, meta learning aims to generalize well to unseen/future tasks. Existing meta-learning approaches have shown promising empirical performance on various multiclass classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Jiechao Guan , Zhiwu Lu , Tao Xiang , Timothy Hospedales

Machine learning models are increasingly used in critical decision-making applications. However, these models are susceptible to replicating or even amplifying bias present in real-world data. While there are various bias mitigation methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Shih-Chi Ma , Tatiana Ermakova , Benjamin Fabian

Deep neural networks have demonstrated remarkable performance across numerous learning tasks but often suffer from miscalibration, resulting in unreliable probability outputs. This has inspired many recent works on mitigating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Wenjian Huang , Guiping Cao , Jiahao Xia , Jingkun Chen , Hao Wang , Jianguo Zhang

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

We propose self-adaptive training---a new training algorithm that dynamically corrects problematic training labels by model predictions without incurring extra computational cost---to improve generalization of deep learning for potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

Context: Conducting experiments is central to research machine learning research to benchmark, evaluate and compare learning algorithms. Consequently it is important we conduct reliable, trustworthy experiments. Objective: We investigate…

Common practice in modern machine learning involves fitting a large number of parameters relative to the number of observations. These overparameterized models can exhibit surprising generalization behavior, e.g., ``double descent'' in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Multimodal machine learning has achieved remarkable progress in a wide range of scenarios. However, the reliability of multimodal learning remains largely unexplored. In this paper, through extensive empirical studies, we identify current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Huan Ma. Qingyang Zhang , Changqing Zhang , Bingzhe Wu , Huazhu Fu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Qinghua Hu

We consider the sample complexity of learning with adversarial robustness. Most prior theoretical results for this problem have considered a setting where different classes in the data are close together or overlapping. Motivated by some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Robi Bhattacharjee , Somesh Jha , Kamalika Chaudhuri

This paper introduces a framework for estimating fair optimal predictions using machine learning where the notion of fairness can be quantified using path-specific causal effects. We use a recently developed approach based on Lagrange…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

We analyze the local Rademacher complexity of empirical risk minimization (ERM)-based multi-label learning algorithms, and in doing so propose a new algorithm for multi-label learning. Rather than using the trace norm to regularize the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-28 Chang Xu , Tongliang Liu , Dacheng Tao , Chao Xu