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Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

In large-scale networks of uncertain dynamical systems, where communication is limited and there is a strong interaction among subsystems, learning local models and control policies offers great potential for designing high-performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-08 Andrea Carron , Jerome Sieber , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

The aim of this paper is to propose a new data-driven control scheme for multi-input-multi-output linear time-invariant systems whose system model are completely unknown. Using a non-minimal input-output realization, the proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-11 Nam H. Jo , Hyungbo Shim

We investigate the problem of establishing finite-time probabilistic safety guarantees for discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems subject to unknown disturbance distributions, using barrier certificate methods. Our approach develops a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , C. -H. Luke Ong , Bai Xue

Predictive control, which is based on a model of the system to compute the applied input optimizing the future system behavior, is by now widely used. If the nominal models are not given or are very uncertain, data-driven model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-09 Hoang Hai Nguyen , Maurice Friedel , Rolf Findeisen

A robust model predictive control scheme for a class of constrained norm-bounded uncertain discrete-time linear systems is developed under the hypothesis that only partial state measurements are available for feedback. Off-line calculations…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Giuseppe Franzè , Massimiliano Mattei , Luciano Ollio , Valerio Scordamaglia

We introduce a simple but effective method for managing risk in model-based reinforcement learning with trajectory sampling that involves probabilistic safety constraints and balancing of optimism in the face of epistemic uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Marin Vlastelica , Sebastian Blaes , Cristina Pineri , Georg Martius

In data-driven control, a central question is how to handle noisy data. In this work, we consider the problem of designing a stabilizing controller for an unknown linear system using only a finite set of noisy data collected from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Andrea Bisoffi , Claudio De Persis , Pietro Tesi

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

We present a simple model-free control algorithm that is able to robustly learn and stabilize an unknown discrete-time linear system with full control and state feedback subject to arbitrary bounded disturbance and noise sequences. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Dimitar Ho , John Doyle

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable…

We present a robust data-driven control scheme for an unknown linear system model with bounded process and measurement noise. Instead of depending on a system model in traditional predictive control, a controller utilizing data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-14 Amr Alanwar , Yvonne Stürz , Karl Henrik Johansson

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

This brief introduction to Model Predictive Control specifically addresses stochastic Model Predictive Control, where probabilistic constraints are considered. A simple linear system subject to uncertainty serves as an example. The Matlab…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Tim Brüdigam

This paper proposes risk-averse and risk-agnostic formulations to robust design in which solutions that satisfy the system requirements for a set of scenarios are pursued. These scenarios, which correspond to realizations of uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Luis G. Crespo , Bret Stanford , Natalia Alexandrov

We propose a simple safety filter design for stochastic discrete-time systems based on piecewise affine probabilistic control barrier functions, providing an appealing balance between modeling flexibility and computational complexity. Exact…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Matisse Teuwen , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

This paper studies the learning-to-control problem under process and sensing uncertainties for dynamical systems. In our previous work, we developed a data-based generalization of the iterative linear quadratic regulator (iLQR) to design…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Ran Wang , Raman Goyal , Suman Chakravorty

This paper offers a critical view of the "worst-case" approach that is the cornerstone of robust control design. It is our contention that a blind acceptance of worst-case scenarios may lead to designs that are actually more dangerous than…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen , Jorge Aravena , Kemin Zhou
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