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Time-series data classification is central to the analysis and control of autonomous systems, such as robots and self-driving cars. Temporal logic-based learning algorithms have been proposed recently as classifiers of such data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Erfan Aasi , Cristian Ioan Vasile , Mahroo Bahreinian , Calin Belta

Recalibrating probabilistic classifiers is vital for enhancing the reliability and accuracy of predictive models. Despite the development of numerous recalibration algorithms, there is still a lack of a comprehensive theory that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Zeyu Sun , Dogyoon Song , Alfred Hero

Classification of datasets into two or more distinct classes is an important machine learning task. Many methods are able to classify binary classification tasks with a very high accuracy on test data, but cannot provide any easily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Yashesh Dhebar , Sparsh Gupta , Kalyanmoy Deb

Uncertainty quantification is essential for the reliable deployment of machine learning models to high-stakes application domains. Uncertainty quantification is all the more challenging when training distribution and test distribution are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Yaodong Yu , Stephen Bates , Yi Ma , Michael I. Jordan

We propose a new splitting criterion for a meta-learning approach to multiclass classifier design that adaptively merges the classes into a tree-structured hierarchy of increasingly difficult binary classification problems. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Alfred O. Hero

Model Merging (MM) has emerged as a scalable paradigm for multi-task learning (MTL), enabling multiple task-specific models to be integrated without revisiting the original training data. Despite recent progress, the reliability of MM under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Yuhan Xie , Chen Lyu

We study rotation-robust learning for image inputs using Convolutional Model Trees (CMTs) [1], whose split and leaf coefficients can be structured on the image grid and transformed geometrically at deployment time. In a controlled MNIST…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Hongyi Li , William Ward Armstrong , Jun Xu

Multi-agent systems, e.g., automobiles and UAVs (Unmanned Ariel Vehicles), rely on the precision of onboard sensors to accurately perceive their environment, which in turn depends on the precision of onboard sensors and reliable in-field…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-23 Bichi Zhang , Holger Caesar , Raj Thilak Rajan

Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying neural networks (NNs) in real-world applications. While existing calibration techniques often rely on post-hoc adjustments or coarse-grained binning methods, they remain limited in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan

Abstract Post hoc recalibration of prediction uncertainties of machine learning regression problems by isotonic regression might present a problem for bin-based calibration error statistics (e.g. ENCE). Isotonic regression often produces…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 Pascal Pernot

Classifier calibration does not always go hand in hand with the classifier's ability to separate the classes. There are applications where good classifier calibration, i.e. the ability to produce accurate probability estimates, is more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Tuomo Alasalmi , Jaakko Suutala , Heli Koskimäki , Juha Röning

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved significant success across various tasks, but ensuring reliable uncertainty estimates, known as model calibration, is crucial for their safe and effective deployment. Modern DNNs often suffer from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

In machine learning, model calibration and predictive inference are essential for producing reliable predictions and quantifying uncertainty to support decision-making. Recognizing the complementary roles of point and interval predictions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-01 Lars van der Laan , Ahmed M. Alaa

Theoretical interpretations of particle physics data, such as the determination of the Wilson coefficients of the Standard Model Effective Field Theory (SMEFT), often involve the inference of multiple parameters from a global dataset.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-24 Raquel Gomez Ambrosio , Jaco ter Hoeve , Maeve Madigan , Juan Rojo , Veronica Sanz

Bundle recommendation seeks to recommend a bundle of related items to users to improve both user experience and the profits of platform. Existing bundle recommendation models have progressed from capturing only user-bundle interactions to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Yunshan Ma , Yingzhi He , Xiang Wang , Yinwei Wei , Xiaoyu Du , Yuyangzi Fu , Tat-Seng Chua

Recent studies have demonstrated advantages of information fusion based on sparsity models for multimodal classification. Among several sparsity models, tree-structured sparsity provides a flexible framework for extraction of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-02-04 Soheil Bahrampour , Asok Ray , Nasser M. Nasrabadi , Kenneth W. Jenkins

Modern visual recognition models often display overconfidence due to their reliance on complex deep neural networks and one-hot target supervision, resulting in unreliable confidence scores that necessitate calibration. While current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Tianshui Chen , Weihang Wang , Tao Pu , Jinghui Qin , Zhijing Yang , Jie Liu , Liang Lin

In this paper, we present results on improving out-of-domain weather prediction and uncertainty estimation as part of the \texttt{Shifts Challenge on Robustness and Uncertainty under Real-World Distributional Shift} challenge. We find that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Sankalp Gilda , Neel Bhandari , Wendy Mak , Andrea Panizza

Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) has achieved remarkable success in a wide variety of applications. The split finding algorithm, which determines the tree construction process, is one of the most crucial components of GBDT. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Zheyu Zhang , Tianping Zhang , Jian Li

Decision trees are powerful machine learning algorithms, widely used in fields such as economics and medicine for their simplicity and interpretability. However, decision trees such as CART are prone to overfitting, especially when grown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma
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