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The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

We consider Bayesian multiple hypothesis problem with independent and identically distributed observations. The classical, Sanov's theorem-based, analysis of the error probability allows one to characterize the best achievable error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Hüseyin Afşer

Distribution shifts remain a fundamental problem for the safe application of machine learning systems. If undetected, they may impact the real-world performance of such systems or will at least render original performance claims invalid. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Lisa M. Koch , Christian M. Schürch , Christian F. Baumgartner , Arthur Gretton , Philipp Berens

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

The objective of this work is to quantify the uncertainty in probability of failure estimates resulting from incomplete knowledge of the probability distributions for the input random variables. We propose a framework that couples the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael Shields

This paper examines the biases and performance of several uncertain inference systems: Mycin, a variant of Mycin. and a simplified version of probability using conditional independence assumptions. We present axiomatic arguments for using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Ben P. Wise

Universal hypothesis testing refers to the problem of deciding whether samples come from a nominal distribution or an unknown distribution that is different from the nominal distribution. Hoeffding's test, whose test statistic is equivalent…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Pengfei Yang , Biao Chen

We suggest a robust nearest-neighbor approach to classifying high-dimensional data. The method enhances sensitivity by employing a threshold and truncates to a sequence of zeros and ones in order to reduce the deleterious impact of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-02 Yao-ban Chan , Peter Hall

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

Correctly estimating the discrepancy between two data distributions has always been an important task in Machine Learning. Recently, Cuturi proposed the Sinkhorn distance which makes use of an approximate Optimal Transport cost between two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-18 Ying Lu , Liming Chen , Alexandre Saidi , Xianfeng Gu

Recent work has shown that the hidden states of large language models contain signals useful for uncertainty estimation and hallucination detection, motivating a growing interest in efficient probe-based approaches. Yet it remains unclear…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Joe Stacey , Hadas Orgad , Kentaro Inui , Benjamin Heinzerling , Nafise Sadat Moosavi

We study distributionally robust online learning, where a risk-averse learner updates decisions sequentially to guard against worst-case distributions drawn from a Wasserstein ambiguity set centered at past observations. While this paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Guixian Chen , Salar Fattahi , Soroosh Shafiee

A machine learning model that generalizes well should obtain low errors on unseen test examples. Thus, if we learn an optimal model in training data, it could have better generalization performance in testing tasks. However, learning such a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Penghao Jiang , Xin Ke , ZiFeng Wang , Chunxi Li

We consider learning in an adversarial environment, where an $\varepsilon$-fraction of samples from a distribution $P$ are arbitrarily modified (global corruptions) and the remaining perturbations have average magnitude bounded by $\rho$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Sloan Nietert , Ziv Goldfeld , Soroosh Shafiee

This paper proposes a unit commitment (UC) model based on data-driven Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) for power systems under uncertainty of renewable generation as well as its tractable exact reformulation. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-17 Youngchae Cho , Insoon Yang

We consider the problem of learning the exact skeleton of general discrete Bayesian networks from potentially corrupted data. Building on distributionally robust optimization and a regression approach, we propose to optimize the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Yeshu Li , Brian D. Ziebart

This thesis develops data-driven machine learning algorithms to managing and optimizing the next-generation highly complex cyberphysical systems, which desperately need ground-breaking control, monitoring, and decision making schemes that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Alireza Sadeghi

A confidence distribution is a complete tool for making frequentist inference for a parameter of interest $\psi$ based on an assumed parametric model. Indeed, it allows to reach point estimates, to assess their precision, to set up tests…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-20 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura