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Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Dose-finding clinical trials in oncology aim to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a new drug, generally defined by the proportion of patients with short-term dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs). Model-based approaches for such phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Moreno Ursino , Lucie Biard , Sylvie Chevret

Data collected in clinical trials are often composed of multiple types of variables. For example, laboratory measurements and vital signs are longitudinal data of continuous or categorical variables, adverse events may be recurrent events,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Tuo Wang , Rachel Zilinskas , Ying Li , Yongming Qu

An accurate estimation of the dose-response relationship is important to determine the optimal dose. For this purpose, a dose finding trial in which subjects are randomized to a few fixed dose levels is the most commonly used design. Often,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Jixian Wang , Zhiwei Zhang , Ram Tiwari

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Leveraging preclinical animal data for a phase I first-in-man trial is appealing yet challenging. A prior based on animal data may place large probability mass on values of the dose-toxicity model parameter(s), which appear infeasible in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-15 Haiyan Zheng , Lisa V. Hampson

When the underlying conditional density is known, conditional expectations can be computed analytically or numerically. When, however, such knowledge is not available and instead we are given a collection of training data, the goal of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-19 George V. Moustakides

An unprecedented number of new cancer targets are in development, and most are being developed in combination therapies. Early oncology development is strategically challenged in choosing the best combinations to move forward to late stage…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-08 Linda Z. Sun , Cai , Wu , Xiaoyun , Li , Cong Chen , Emmett V. Schmidt

In oncology phase I trials, model-assisted designs have been increasingly adopted because they enable adaptive yet operationally simple dose adjustment based on accumulating safety data, leading to a paradigm shift in dose-escalation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Kana Yamada , Hisato Sunami , Kentaro Takeda , Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

We propose a rule-based statistical design for combination dose-finding trials with two agents. The Ci3+3 design is an extension of the i3+3 design with simple decision rules comparing the observed toxicity rates and equivalence intervals…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Shijie Yuan , Tianjian Zhou , Yawen Lin , Yuan Ji

Clinical trials are a systematic endeavor to assess the safety and efficacy of new drugs or treatments. Conducting such trials typically demands significant financial investment and meticulous planning, highlighting the need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Tien Huu Do , Antoine Masquelier , Nae Eoun Lee , Jonathan Crowther

The use of `backfilling', assigning additional patients to doses deemed safe, in phase I dose-escalation studies has been used in practice to collect additional information on the safety profile, pharmacokinetics and activity of a drug.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-22 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

Accurate forecast of a clinical trial enrollment timeline at the planning phase is of great importance to both corporate strategic planning and trial operational excellence. While predictions of key milestones such as last subject first…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-05 Sheng Zhong , Yunzhao Xing , Mengjia Yu , Li Wang

Understanding the dose-response relation between a continuous treatment and the outcome for an individual can greatly drive decision-making, particularly in areas like personalized drug dosing and personalized healthcare interventions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Jarne Verhaeghe , Jef Jonkers , Sofie Van Hoecke

The use of drug combinations in clinical trials is increasingly common during the last years since a more favorable therapeutic response may be obtained by combining drugs. In phase I clinical trials, most of the existing methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 José L. Jiménez , Sungjin Kim , Mourad Tighiouart

The keyboard design is a novel phase I dose-finding method that is simple and has good operating characteristics. This paper studies theoretical properties of the keyboard design, including the optimality of its decision rules, coherence in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Haitao Pan , Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Chemotherapeutic response of cancer cells to a given compound is one of the most fundamental information one requires to design anti-cancer drugs. Recent advances in producing large drug screens against cancer cell lines provided an…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-17 Mehmet Tan , Ozan Fırat Özgül , Batuhan Bardak , Işıksu Ekşioğlu , Suna Sabuncuoğlu

Purpose: The early identification of maximum tolerated dose (MTD) in phase I trial leads to faster progression to a phase II trial or an expansion cohort to confirm efficacy. Methods: We propose a novel adaptive design for identifying MTD…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Masahiro Kojima

Phase I oncology trials aim to identify a safe dose - often the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) - for subsequent studies. Conventional designs focus on population-level toxicity modeling, with recent attention on leveraging pharmacokinetic…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-13 Kyong Ju Lee , Yuan Ji

Nonlinear regression models addressing both efficacy and toxicity outcomes are increasingly used in dose-finding trials, such as in pharmaceutical drug development. However, research on related experimental design problems for corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Holger Dette , Katrin Kettelhake , Kirsten Schorning , Weng Kee Wong , Frank Bretz