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Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

We study the societal impact of pseudo-scientific assumptions for predicting the behavior of people in a straightforward application of machine learning to risk prediction in financial lending. This use case also exemplifies the impact of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Bruno Scarone , Ricardo Baeza-Yates

When ML algorithms are deployed to automate human-related decisions, human agents may learn the underlying decision policies and adapt their behavior. Strategic Classification (SC) has emerged as a framework for studying this interaction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Tian Xie , Pavan Rauch , Xueru Zhang

Of late, in order to have better acceptability among various domain, researchers have argued that machine intelligence algorithms must be able to provide explanations that humans can understand causally. This aspect, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Satyam Kumar , Vadlamani Ravi

In credit markets, screening algorithms aim to discriminate between good-type and bad-type borrowers. However, when doing so, they can also discriminate between individuals sharing a protected attribute (e.g. gender, age, racial origin) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Christophe Hurlin , Christophe Pérignon , Sébastien Saurin

When an algorithm provides risk assessments, we typically think of them as helpful inputs to human decisions, such as when risk scores are presented to judges or doctors. However, a decision-maker may react not only to the information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bryce McLaughlin , Jann Spiess

Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine algorithms, together with Linear and Non-Linear Deep Neural Networks, are applied to lending data in order to replicate lender acceptance of loans and predict the likelihood of default of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-04 Jeremy D. Turiel , Tomaso Aste

Reinforcement learning algorithms describe how an agent can learn an optimal action policy in a sequential decision process, through repeated experience. In a given environment, the agent policy provides him some running and terminal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-03-24 Arthur Charpentier , Romuald Elie , Carl Remlinger

Several papers have recently contained reports on applying machine learning (ML) to the automation of software engineering (SE) tasks, such as project management, modeling and development. However, there appear to be no approaches comparing…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Nathalia Nascimento , Carlos Lucena , Paulo Alencar , Donald Cowan

As Large Language Models (LLMs) become increasingly integrated into financial systems, understanding their behavioural properties is crucial. Do LLMs conform to the rational expectations paradigm, do they exhibit human-like "animal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-30 Maxime Saxena , Marco Pangallo , Cars Hommes , Fabio Caccioli , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

Machine Learning algorithms are ubiquitous in key decision-making contexts such as organizational justice or healthcare, which has spawned a great demand for fairness in these procedures. In this paper we focus on the application of fair ML…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-01 Arturo Pérez-Peralta , Sandra Benítez-Peña , Rosa E. Lillo

This paper proposes an approach to analyze an event log of a business process in order to generate case-level recommendations of treatments that maximize the probability of a given outcome. Users classify the attributes in the event log…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Zahra Dasht Bozorgi , Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Artem Polyvyanyy

Machine-learned systems are in widespread use for making decisions about humans, and it is important that they are fair, i.e., not biased against individuals based on sensitive attributes. We present runtime verification of algorithmic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Thomas A. Henzinger , Mahyar Karimi , Konstantin Kueffner , Kaushik Mallik

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel

There is an analogy between machine learning systems and economic entities in that they are both adaptive, and their behaviour is specified in a more-or-less explicit way. It appears that the area of AI that is most analogous to the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-03 Travis LaCroix , Yoshua Bengio

This systematic literature review examines the role of machine learning in fraud detection within digital banking, synthesizing evidence from 118 peer-reviewed studies and institutional reports. Following the PRISMA guidelines, the review…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Md Zahin Hossain George , Md Khorshed Alam , Md Tarek Hasan

People are known to judge artificial intelligence using a utilitarian moral philosophy and humans using a moral philosophy emphasizing perceived intentions. But why do people judge humans and machines differently? Psychology suggests that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Jingling Zhang , Jane Conway , César A. Hidalgo

Conditional forecasts of risk measures play an important role in internal risk management of financial institutions as well as in regulatory capital calculations. In order to assess forecasting performance of a risk measurement procedure,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-22 Natalia Nolde , Johanna F. Ziegel

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

To some, the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) promises better decision-making and increased military effectiveness while reducing the influence of human error and emotions. However, there is still debate about how AI systems,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Max Lamparth , Anthony Corso , Jacob Ganz , Oriana Skylar Mastro , Jacquelyn Schneider , Harold Trinkunas
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