English
Related papers

Related papers: Detecting Structural Breaks in Foreign Exchange Ma…

200 papers

We propose a rescaled LASSO, by premultipying the LASSO with a matrix term, namely linear unified LASSO (LLASSO) for multicollinear situations. Our numerical study has shown that the LLASSO is comparable with other sparse modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-16 M. Arashi , Y. Asar , B. Yuzbasi

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

In applied time-to-event analysis, a flexible parametric approach is to model the hazard rate as a piecewise constant function of time. However, the change points and values of the piecewise constant hazard are usually unknown and need to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Manuel Rosenbaum , Jan Beyersmann , Michael Vogt

The volatility of financial instruments is rarely constant, and usually varies over time. This creates a phenomenon called volatility clustering, where large price movements on one day are followed by similarly large movements on successive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

We study the problem of variable selection in convex nonparametric least squares (CNLS). Whereas the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) is a popular technique for least squares, its variable selection performance is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Zhiqiang Liao , Zhaonan Qu

We consider the consistency properties of a regularised estimator for the simultaneous identification of both changepoints and graphical dependency structure in multivariate time-series. Traditionally, estimation of Gaussian Graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Alex J. Gibberd , Sandipan Roy

This article presents a novel methodology for detecting multiple biomarkers in high-dimensional mediation models by utilizing a modified Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) alongside Pathway LASSO. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Pei-Shan Yen , Soumya Sahu , Debarghya Nandi , Zhaoliang Zhou , Olusola Ajilore , Dulal Bhaumik

In this paper, we propose a fast, well-performing, and consistent method for segmenting a piecewise-stationary, linear time series with an unknown number of breakpoints. The time series model we use is the nonparametric Locally Stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-30 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

A common goal in network modeling is to uncover the latent community structure present among nodes. For many real-world networks, the true connections consist of events arriving as streams, which are then aggregated to form edges, ignoring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Guanhua Fang , Owen G. Ward , Tian Zheng

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

In Ciuperca (2012) (Ciuperca. Model selection by LASSO methods in a change-point model, Stat. Papers, 2012; (in press)), the author considered a linear regression model with multiple change-points occurring at unknown times. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-10 Fuqi Chen , Sévérien Nkurunziza

Identifying structural change is a crucial step in analysis of time series and panel data. The longer the time span, the higher the likelihood that the model parameters have changed as a result of major disruptive events, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-23 Jan Ditzen , Yiannis Karavias , Joakim Westerlund

This paper proposes a new approach for change point detection in multivariate Hawkes processes using Fr\'echet statistic of a network. The method splits the point process into overlapping windows, estimates kernel matrices in each window,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Rui Luo , Vikram Krishnamurthy

This dissertation presents a general framework for changepoint detection based on L0 model selection. The core method, Iteratively Reweighted Fused Lasso (IRFL), improves upon the generalized lasso by adaptively reweighting penalties to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Michael Grantham , Xueheng Shi , Bertrand Clarke

We consider varying coefficient Cox models with high-dimensional covariates. We apply the group Lasso method to these models and propose a variable selection procedure. Our procedure copes with variable selection and structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Toshio Honda , Ryota Yabe

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

We study a group lasso estimator for the multivariate linear regression model that accounts for correlated error terms. A block coordinate descent algorithm is used to compute this estimator. We perform a simulation study with categorical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-17 Ines Wilms , Christophe Croux