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Share prices of financial companies from the S&P 500 list have been modeled by a linear function of consumer price indices in the USA. The Johansen and Engle-Granger tests for cointegration both demonstrated the presence of an equilibrium…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-16 Ivan O. Kitov

We propose a unifying framework for the pricing of debt securities under general time-inhomogeneous short-rate diffusion processes. The pricing of bonds, bond options, callable/putable bonds, and convertible bonds (CBs) is covered. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Marie-Claude Vachon , Anne Mackay

This paper presents a new method to assess default risk based on applying the CEV process to the KMV model. We find that the volatility of the firm asset value may not be a constant, so we assume the firm's asset value dynamics are given by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-23 Wen Su

To non-experts, the traditional Centralized Finance (CeFi) ecosystem may seem obscure, because users are typically not aware of the underlying rules or agreements of financial assets and products. Decentralized Finance (DeFi), however, is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-17 Kaihua Qin , Liyi Zhou , Yaroslav Afonin , Ludovico Lazzaretti , Arthur Gervais

The aim of this study is to investigate quantitatively whether share prices deviated from company fundamentals in the stock market crash of 2008. For this purpose, we use a large database containing the balance sheets and share prices of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Michiko Miyano

We introduce the general arbitrage-free valuation framework for counterparty risk adjustments in presence of bilateral default risk, including default of the investor. We illustrate the symmetry in the valuation and show that the adjustment…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-19 Damiano Brigo , Agostino Capponi

We analyze the market quality of centralized crypto exchanges (CEXs) and decentralized blockchain-based venues (DEXs) using a unique and comprehensive dataset. Focusing on two fundamental aspects, transaction costs and deviations from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-16 Andrea Barbon , Angelo Ranaldo

We study computational problems in financial networks of banks connected by debt contracts and credit default swaps (CDSs). A main problem is to determine \emph{clearing} payments, for instance right after some banks have been exposed to a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Simon Dohn , Kristoffer Arnsfelt Hansen , Asger Klinkby

Credit risk assessment increasingly relies on diverse sources of information beyond traditional structured financial data, particularly for micro and small enterprises (mSEs) with limited financial histories. This study proposes a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Zongxiao Wu , Ran Liu , Jiang Dai , Dan Luo

Contracts for Difference (CfDs) are forwards on the spread between an area price and the system price. Together with the system price forwards, these products are used to hedge the area price risk in the Nordic electricity market. The CfDs…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-27 Egil Ferkingstad , Anders Løland

We analyze the price return distributions of currency exchange rates, cryptocurrencies, and contracts for differences (CFDs) representing stock indices, stock shares, and commodities. Based on recent data from the years 2017--2020, we model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Credit Valuation Adjustment captures the difference in the value of derivative contracts when the counterparty default probability is taken into account. However, in the context of a network of contracts, the default probability of a direct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-29 Irena Barjašić , Stefano Battiston , Vinko Zlatić

We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 Lijun Bo , Ying Jiao , Xuewei Yang

Since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), the use of stress tests as a tool for assessing the resilience of financial institutions to adverse financial and economic developments has increased significantly. One key part in such exercises is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Martin Guth

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 David Xiao

The scarcity of task-labeled time-series benchmarks in the financial domain hinders progress in continual learning. Addressing this deficit would foster innovation in this area. Therefore, we present COB, Crude Oil Benchmark datasets. COB…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Pranay Pasula

We introduce Dirac processes, using Dirac delta functions, for short-rate-type pricing of financial derivatives. Dirac processes add spikes to the existing building blocks of diffusions and jumps. Dirac processes are Generalized Processes,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-20 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green

We compare observed corporate cumulative default probabilities to those calculated using a stochastic model based on an extension of the work of Black and Cox and find that corporations default as if via diffusive dynamics. The model, based…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Ting Lei , Raymond J. Hawkins

Motivated by empirical observations on the interplay of trends and reversion, a lattice gas model of financial markets is presented. The shares of an asset are modeled by gas molecules that are distributed across a hidden social network of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-02 Christof Schmidhuber

Whether it is for audit or for recovery purposes, data checkpointing is an important problem of distributed database systems. Actually, transactions establish dependence relations on data checkpoints taken by data object managers. So, given…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 R. Baldoni , F. Quaglia , M. Raynal
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