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Crude oil, a critical component of the global economy, has its prices influenced by various factors such as economic trends, political events, and natural disasters. Traditional prediction methods based on historical data have their limits…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun , Martin Tschudy

Predicting market movements based on the sentiment of news media has a long tradition in data analysis. With advances in natural language processing, transformer architectures have emerged that enable contextually aware sentiment…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Forecasting financial time series (FTS) is an essential field in finance and economics that anticipates market movements in financial markets. This paper investigates the accuracy of text mining and technical analyses in forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-01 Ali Lashgari

Predicting financial returns accurately poses a significant challenge due to the inherent uncertainty in financial time series data. Enhancing prediction models' performance hinges on effectively capturing both social and financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Simone Formentin

This paper investigates the potential improvement of the GPT-4 Language Learning Model (LLM) in comparison to BERT for modeling same-day daily stock price movements of Apple and Tesla in 2017, based on sentiment analysis of microblogging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-01 Rick Steinert , Saskia Altmann

The stock market provides a rich well of information that can be split across modalities, making it an ideal candidate for multimodal evaluation. Multimodal data plays an increasingly important role in the development of machine learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Benjamin Iyoya Irving , Annika Marie Schoene

Stock selection, which aims to predict stock prices and identify the most profitable ones, is a crucial task in finance. While existing methods primarily focus on developing model structures and building graphs for improved selection,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Mengyu Wang , Tiejun Ma , Shay B. Cohen

In this study, we integrate sentiment analysis within a financial framework by leveraging FinBERT, a fine-tuned BERT model specialized for financial text, to construct an advanced deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-12 Tingsong Jiang , Qingyun Zeng

Transformer-based masked language models such as BERT, trained on general corpora, have shown impressive performance on downstream tasks. It has also been demonstrated that the downstream task performance of such models can be improved by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Zhi Hong , Aswathy Ajith , Gregory Pauloski , Eamon Duede , Kyle Chard , Ian Foster

Much of natural language processing is focused on leveraging large capacity language models, typically trained over single messages with a task of predicting one or more tokens. However, modeling human language at higher-levels of context…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Matthew Matero , Nikita Soni , Niranjan Balasubramanian , H. Andrew Schwartz

Recently, the development of pre-trained language models has brought natural language processing (NLP) tasks to the new state-of-the-art. In this paper we explore the efficiency of various pre-trained language models. We pre-train a list of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Tong Guo

Exploring the predictive capabilities of language models in material science is an ongoing interest. This study investigates the application of language model embeddings to enhance material property prediction in materials science. By…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Yuwei Wan , Tong Xie , Nan Wu , Wenjie Zhang , Chunyu Kit , Bram Hoex

Natural Language Processing (NLP) has witnessed a transformative leap with the advent of transformer-based architectures, which have significantly enhanced the ability of machines to understand and generate human-like text. This paper…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Tianhao Wu , Yu Wang , Ngoc Quach

We analyze if large language models are able to predict patterns of human reading behavior. We compare the performance of language-specific and multilingual pretrained transformer models to predict reading time measures reflecting natural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Nora Hollenstein , Federico Pirovano , Ce Zhang , Lena Jäger , Lisa Beinborn

We investigate the efficacy of large language models (LLMs) in sentiment analysis of U.S. financial news and their potential in predicting stock market returns. We analyze a dataset comprising 965,375 news articles that span from January 1,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Kemal Kirtac , Guido Germano

It has been shown that financial news leads to the fluctuation of stock prices. However, previous work on news-driven financial market prediction focused only on predicting stock price movement without providing an explanation. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Linyi Yang , Zheng Zhang , Su Xiong , Lirui Wei , James Ng , Lina Xu , Ruihai Dong

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

This paper introduces BreakGPT, a novel large language model (LLM) architecture adapted specifically for time series forecasting and the prediction of sharp upward movements in asset prices. By leveraging both the capabilities of LLMs and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Aleksandr Simonyan