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Large network logs, recording multivariate time series generated from heterogeneous devices and sensors in a network, can often reveal important information about abnormal activities, such as network intrusions and device malfunctions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Yijun Lin , Yao-Yi Chiang

Radiative transfer coupled with highly realistic simulations of the solar atmosphere is routinely used to infer the physical properties underlying solar observations. Due to its computational efficiency, the method of short-characteristics…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-17 Courtney L. Peck , Serena Criscuoli , Mark P. Rast

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

An open-source, physics-based tropical cyclone downscaling model is developed, in order to generate a large climatology of tropical cyclones. The model is composed of three primary components: (1) a random seeding process that determines…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-19 Jonathan Lin , Raphael Rousseau-Rizzi , Chia-Ying Lee , Adam Sobel

We are sometimes forced to use the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design as an identification strategy for potential policy change, such as when we only have a single treated unit and no comparable controls. For example, with recent county-…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 Luke Miratrix

Event detection in time series is a challenging task due to the prevalence of imbalanced datasets, rare events, and time interval-defined events. Traditional supervised deep learning methods primarily employ binary classification, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Menouar Azib , Benjamin Renard , Philippe Garnier , Vincent Génot , Nicolas André

We develop an efficient numerical scheme to solve accurately the set of nonlinear integral equations derived previously in (Saichev and Sornette, 2007), which describes the distribution of inter-event times in the framework of a general…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , S. Utkin , A. Saichev

In this paper, we exploit the theory of compressive sensing to perform detection of a random source in a dense sensor network. When the sensors are densely deployed, observations at adjacent sensors are highly correlated while those…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Thakshila Wimalajeewa , Pramod K. Varshney

Change detection in heterogeneous multitemporal satellite images is an emerging and challenging topic in remote sensing. In particular, one of the main challenges is to tackle the problem in an unsupervised manner. In this paper we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Luigi T. Luppino , Filippo M. Bianchi , Gabriele Moser , Stian N. Anfinsen

Determining the location of a tropical cyclone's (TC) surface circulation center -- "center-fixing" -- is a critical first step in the TC-forecasting process, affecting current/future estimates of track, intensity, and structure. Despite a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-13 Ryan Lagerquist , Galina Chirokova , Robert DeMaria , Mark DeMaria , Imme Ebert-Uphoff

The use of video-imaging data for in-line process monitoring applications has become more and more popular in the industry. In this framework, spatio-temporal statistical process monitoring methods are needed to capture the relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-24 Hao Yan , Marco Grasso , Kamran Paynabar , Bianca Maria Colosimo

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

A theoretical analysis of the statistical distributions of the reflected intensities from random media is presented. We use random matrix theory to analytically deduce the probability densities in the localization regime. Numerical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Garcia-Martin , T. Lopez-Ciudad , J. J. Saenz , M. Nieto-Vesperinas

A variety of methods have been proposed for inference about extreme dependence for multivariate or spatially-indexed stochastic processes and time series. Most of these proceed by first transforming data to some specific extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 James E. Johndrow , Robert L. Wolpert

Technological and computational advances continuously drive forward the broad field of deep learning. In recent years, the derivation of quantities describing theuncertainty in the prediction - which naturally accompanies the modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Christoph Koller , Göran Kauermann , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- hierarchical structure, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical branching diffusion with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-02 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Sayaka Olsen , Ilya Zaliapin

In the data deluge context, pattern recognition or labeling in streams is becoming quite an essential and pressing task as data flows inside always bigger streams. The assessment of such tasks is not so easy when dealing with temporal data,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-12-01 Pierre-François Marteau

Image similarity has been extensively studied in computer vision. In recent years, machine-learned models have shown their ability to encode more semantics than traditional multivariate metrics. However, in labelling semantic similarity,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Zukang Liao , Min Chen

We report an extension of a Keras Model, called CTCModel, to perform the Connectionist Temporal Classification (CTC) in a transparent way. Combined with Recurrent Neural Networks, the Connectionist Temporal Classification is the reference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Yann Soullard , Cyprien Ruffino , Thierry Paquet