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The effectiveness of personalized oncology treatments ultimately depends on whether outcomes can be causally attributed to the treatment. Advances in precision oncology have improved molecular profiling of individuals, and tailored…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-29 Lydia Jang , Stefan Konigorski

In recent years, there has been growing research interest in addressing treatment hierarchy questions within network meta-analysis (NMA). In NMAs involving many treatments, the number of possible hierarchy questions becomes prohibitively…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Caitlin H. Daly , Chloe Tan , Audrey Béliveau

To promote precision medicine, individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) are crucial for optimizing the expected clinical outcome based on patient-specific characteristics. However, existing ITR research has primarily focused on scenarios…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Chang Wang , Lu Wang

Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Zhenyu Zhao , Totte Harinen

Network Meta-Analysis (NMA) is an increasingly popular evidence synthesis tool that can provide a ranking of competing treatments, also known as a treatment hierarchy. Treatment-Covariate Interactions (TCIs) can be included in NMA models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Augustine Wigle , Erica E. M. Moodie

Machine learning has recently been widely adopted to address the managerial decision making problems, in which the decision maker needs to be able to interpret the contributions of individual attributes in an explicit form. However, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 Mengzhuo Guo , Qingpeng Zhang , Xiuwu Liao , Frank Youhua Chen , Daniel Dajun Zeng

Classification models typically predict a score and use a decision threshold to produce a classification. Appropriate model evaluation should carefully consider the context in which a model will be used, including the relative value of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Louise AC Millard , Peter A Flach

Network meta-analysis (NMA) has been used to answer a range of clinical questions about the preferable intervention for a given condition. Although the effectiveness and safety of pharmacological agents depend on the dose administered, NMA…

This paper develops a nonparametric model that represents how sequences of outcomes and treatment choices influence one another in a dynamic manner. In this setting, we are interested in identifying the average outcome for individuals in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-16 Sukjin Han

Component network meta-analysis (CNMA) is a statistical methodology that enables estimation of relative effects for multi-component treatments, such as combinations of antidepressants, and individual components, such as single…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Augustine Wigle , Audrey Béliveau , Adriani Nikolakopoulou , Lifeng Lin

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that aims to improve individual patients health outcomes by recommending optimal treatments according to patients specific information. In observational studies, collected data may…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sylvie D Lambert , Sahir Bhatnagar

Optimal treatment rules can improve health outcomes on average by assigning a treatment associated with the most desirable outcome to each individual. Due to an unknown data generation mechanism, it is appealing to use flexible models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Lingjie Shen , Gijs Geleijnse , Maurits Kaptein

Multistate process data are common in studies of chronic diseases such as cancer. These data are ideal for precision medicine purposes as they can be leveraged to improve more refined health outcomes, compared to standard survival outcomes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Giorgos Bakoyannis

An important objective in the development of targeted therapies is to identify the populations where the treatment under consideration has positive benefit risk balance. We consider pivotal clinical trials, where the efficacy of a treatment…

An individualized dose rule recommends a dose level within a continuous safe dose range based on patient level information such as physical conditions, genetic factors and medication histories. Traditionally, personalized dose finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Liangyu Zhu , Wenbin Lu , Michael R. Kosorok , Rui Song

Risk stratification is a key tool in clinical decision-making, yet current approaches often fail to translate sophisticated survival analysis into actionable clinical criteria. We present a novel method for unsupervised machine learning…

Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is a quantitative approach to the drug benefit-risk assessment (BRA) which allows for consistent comparisons by summarising all benefits and risks in a single score. The MCDA consists of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Tom Menzies , Gaelle Saint-Hilary , Pavel Mozgunov

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of medical decisions that adapts to the evolving clinical status of a patient over time. To facilitate personalized care, it is crucial to assess the probability of each available treatment option…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Jiefeng Bi , Matteo Borrotti , Bernardo Nipoti

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment of the agreement between the estimated risks and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lasai Barreñada , Bavo D. C. Campo , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

Decision-making across various fields, such as medicine, heavily relies on conditional average treatment effects (CATEs). Practitioners commonly make decisions by checking whether the estimated CATE is positive, even though the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Jonas Schweisthal , Mihaela van der Schaar , Stefan Feuerriegel