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Traffic Signal Control (TSC) involves a challenging trade-off: classic heuristics are efficient but oversimplified, while Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) achieves high performance yet suffers from poor generalization and opaque policies.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Ruibing Wang , Shuhan Guo , Zeen Li , Zhen Wang , Quanming Yao

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

An adaptive, adversarial methodology is developed for the optimal transport problem between two distributions $\mu$ and $\nu$, known only through a finite set of independent samples $(x_i)_{i=1..N}$ and $(y_j)_{j=1..M}$. The methodology…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Montacer Essid , Debra Laefer , Esteban G. Tabak

Conformal prediction (CP) quantifies the uncertainty of machine learning models by constructing sets of plausible outputs. These sets are constructed by leveraging a so-called conformity score, a quantity computed using the input point of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Michal Klein , Louis Bethune , Eugene Ndiaye , Marco Cuturi

A novel algorithm is proposed to solve the sample-based optimal transport problem. An adversarial formulation of the push-forward condition uses a test function built as a convolution between an adaptive kernel and an evolving probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Daeyoung Kim , Esteban G. Tabak

Trajectory similarity measures act as query predicates in trajectory databases, making them the key player in determining the query results. They also have a heavy impact on the query efficiency. An ideal measure should have the capability…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Yanchuan Chang , Jianzhong Qi , Yuxuan Liang , Egemen Tanin

Score-based diffusion models have significantly advanced high-dimensional data generation across various domains, by learning a denoising oracle (or score) from datasets. From a Bayesian perspective, they offer a realistic modeling of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Joan Bruna , Jiequn Han

Bi-causal optimal transport (OT) is a natural framework for comparing and coupling stochastic processes under nonanticipative information constraints, with important applications in robust finance, sequential uncertainty quantification, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Haoyang Cao , Jesse Hoekstra , Renyuan Xu , Yumin Xu , Ruixun Zhang

In multi-task reinforcement learning, it is possible to improve the data efficiency of training agents by transferring knowledge from other different but related tasks. Because the experiences from different tasks are usually biased toward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Bang Giang Le , Viet Cuong Ta

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is frequently used in data science. For discrete distributions on large state spaces, approximations of probability vectors may result in a few small negative entries, rendering the KL divergence…

We propose a unified framework that employs variational inference (VI) with (conditional) normalizing flows (NFs) to train both between-model and within-model proposals for reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo, enabling efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Pingping Yin , Xiyun Jiao

Variational Inference (VI) is a popular alternative to asymptotically exact sampling in Bayesian inference. Its main workhorse is optimization over a reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence (RKL), which typically underestimates the tail of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-01 Ghassen Jerfel , Serena Wang , Clara Fannjiang , Katherine A. Heller , Yian Ma , Michael I. Jordan

Developing autonomous vehicles (AVs) helps improve the road safety and traffic efficiency of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Accurately predicting the trajectories of traffic participants is essential to the decision-making and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Yunlong Lin , Zirui Li , Cheng Gong , Chao Lu , Xinwei Wang , Jianwei Gong

Transparent decision-making is essential for traffic signal control (TSC) systems to earn public trust. However, traditional reinforcement learning-based TSC methods function as black boxes with limited interpretability. Although large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Darryl Jacob , Xinyu Liu , Muchao Ye , Xiaoyong Yuan , Pan He

Transport maps have become a popular mechanic to express complicated probability densities using sample propagation through an optimized push-forward. Beside their broad applicability and well-known success, transport maps suffer from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Martin Eigel , Robert Gruhlke , Manuel Marschall

The objective in statistical Optimal Transport (OT) is to consistently estimate the optimal transport plan/map solely using samples from the given source and target marginal distributions. This work takes the novel approach of posing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 J. Saketha Nath , Pratik Jawanpuria

We present a Transfer Causal Learning (TCL) framework when target and source domains share the same covariate/feature spaces, aiming to improve causal effect estimation accuracy in limited data. Limited data is very common in medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Song Wei , Hanyu Zhang , Ronald Moore , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran , Yao Xie

The Plackett-Luce (PL) model is ubiquitous in learning-to-rank (LTR) because it provides a useful and intuitive probabilistic model for sampling ranked lists. Counterfactual offline evaluation and optimization of ranking metrics are pivotal…

To bridge the gap between empirical success and theoretical understanding in transfer reinforcement learning (RL), we study a principled approach with provable performance guarantees. We introduce a novel composite MDP framework where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jinhang Chai , Elynn Chen , Lin Yang

Connecting optimal transport and variational inference, we present a principled and systematic framework for sampling and generative modelling centred around divergences on path space. Our work culminates in the development of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-08 Francisco Vargas , Shreyas Padhy , Denis Blessing , Nikolas Nüsken