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Related papers: Extending turbulence model uncertainty quantificat…

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Several machine learning frameworks for augmenting turbulence closure models have been recently proposed. However, the generalizability of an augmented turbulence model remains an open question. We investigate this question by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-22 Ryley McConkey , Eugene Yee , Fue-Sang Lien

Reliable prediction of turbulent flows is an important necessity across different fields of science and engineering. In Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations, the most common type of models are eddy viscosity models that are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-25 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Data-driven turbulence modeling has been considered an effective method for improving the prediction accuracy of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations. Related studies aimed to solve the discrepancy of traditional turbulence modeling by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-19 Yuhui Yin , Pu Yang , Yufei Zhang , Haixin Chen , Song Fu

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

In this brief, we try to develop a comprehensive framework to identify, quantify, isolate, and reduce the uncertainties in the original BHR model \citep {Besnard1992} for variable-density flows. Because the eigenspace perturbation of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-01-01 Z. Huang , J. Hayes , G. Iaccarino

Turbulent flow has been extensively studied using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations since turbulent flow regime is so frequently encountered in both academic and engineering applications. The high-fidelity simulation of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-21 Minghan Chu

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

In this article, we propose a data-driven methodology for combining the solutions of a set of competing turbulence models. The individual model predictions are linearly combined for providing an ensemble solution accompanied by estimates of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-24 Maximilien de Zordo-Banliat , Grégory Dergham , Xavier Merle , Paola Cinnella

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for the use of machine learning in physics, where scientific discoveries depend on validated probabilistic statements. We provide a structured overview of uncertainty quantification in ML for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Manuel Haußmann , Ramon Winterhalder , Maria Ubiali

Spatially developing round jet flows are fundamental to numerous engineering applications. This letter applies the wave-particle turbulence simulation (WPTS) method, a recently developed multiscale approach, to simulate a spatially…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-22 Xiaojian Yang , Kun Xu

Despite their well-known limitations, Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models are still the workhorse tools for turbulent flow simulations in today's engineering application. For many practical flows, the turbulence models are by far…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-09-11 H. Xiao , J. -L. Wu , J. -X. Wang , R. Sun , C. J. Roy

It is highly desirable to know how uncertain a model's predictions are, especially for models that are complex and hard to understand as in deep learning. Although there has been a growing interest in using deep learning methods in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Davood Karimi , Simon K. Warfield , Ali Gholipour

This work presents a review of the current state of research in data-driven turbulence closure modeling. It offers a perspective on the challenges and open issues, but also on the advantages and promises of machine learning methods applied…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Andrea Beck , Marius Kurz

Complex engineering systems require integration of simulation of sub-systems and calculation of metrics to drive design decisions. This paper introduces a methodology for designing computational or physical experiments for system-level…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Efe Y. Yarbasi , Dimitri N. Mavris

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

Uncertainty quantification is at the core of the reliability and robustness of machine learning. In this paper, we provide a theoretical framework to dissect the uncertainty, especially the \textit{epistemic} component, in deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

We present a unique method for solving for the Reynolds stress in turbulent canonical flows, which is based on momentum balance for a control volume moving at the local mean velocity. Comparisons with experimental and computational data in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-04 T. -W. Lee , Jung Eun Park

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

The limitations of turbulence closure models in the context of Reynolds-averaged NavierStokes (RANS) simulations play a significant part in contributing to the uncertainty of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD). Perturbing the spectral…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach