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White paper: The aim of this work is to apply and analyze machine learning methods for uncertainty quantification of turbulence models. In this work we investigate the classical and data-driven variants of the eigenspace perturbation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-04 Marcel Matha , Karsten Kucharczyk

To achieve virtual certification for industrial design, quantifying the uncertainties in simulation-driven processes is crucial. We discuss a physics-constrained approach to account for epistemic uncertainty of turbulence models. In order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach

Turbulent flows are of central importance across applications in science and engineering problems. For design and analysis, scientists and engineers use Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations using turbulence models. Turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-18 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Turbulence Models represent the workhorse for simulations used in engineering design and analysis. Despite their low computational cost and robustness, these models suffer from substantial predictive uncertainty, most of which is epistemic.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

In order to achieve a virtual certification process and robust designs for turbomachinery, the uncertainty bounds for Computational Fluid Dynamics have to be known. The formulation of turbulence closure models implies a major source of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Marcel Matha , Karsten Kucharczyk , Christian Morsbach

Engineering design and scientific analysis rely upon computer simulations of turbulent fluid flows using turbulence models. These turbulence models are empirical and approximate, leading to large uncertainties in their predictions that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-28 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Data-driven methods for improving turbulence modeling in Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations have gained significant interest in the computational fluid dynamics community. Modern machine learning algorithms have opened up a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-02-05 Nicholas Geneva , Nicholas Zabaras

Turbulent flows play an important role in many scientific and technological design problems. Both Sub-Grid Scale (SGS) models in Large Eddy Simulations (LES) and Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) based modeling will require turbulence…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-16 Minghan Chu

Complex turbulent flow simulations are an integral aspect of the engineering design process. The mainstay of these simulations is represented by eddy viscosity based turbulence models. Eddy viscosity models are computationally cheap due to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-14 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Simulations of complex turbulent flow are part and parcel of the engineering design process. Eddy viscosity based turbulence models represent the workhorse for these simulations. The underlying simplifications in eddy viscosity models make…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-15 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Amid growing interest in machine learning, numerous data-driven models have recently been developed for Reynolds-averaged turbulence modelling. However, their results generally show that they do not give accurate predictions for test cases…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-20 Anthony Man , Mohammad Jadidi , Amir Keshmiri , Hujun Yin , Yasser Mahmoudi

Predicting the evolution of turbulent flows is central across science and engineering. Most studies rely on simulations with turbulence models, whose empirical simplifications introduce epistemic uncertainty. The Eigenspace Perturbation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Simulations using machine learning (ML) models and mechanistic models are often run to inform decision-making processes. Uncertainty estimates of simulation results are critical to the decision-making process because simulation results of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Babajide Kolade

In computational fluid dynamics simulations of industrial flows, models based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) equations are expected to play an important role in decades to come. However, model uncertainties are still a major…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-01 Heng Xiao , Paola Cinnella

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

Numerical models based on Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations are widely used in engineering turbulence modeling. However, the RANS predictions have large model-form uncertainties for many complex flows. Quantification of these…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-01-25 Jian-Xun Wang , Rui Sun , Heng Xiao

In operational weather models, the effects of turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) on the resolved flow are modeled using turbulence parameterizations. These parameterizations typically use a predetermined set of model…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-27 E. Y. Shin , M. F. Howland

Aerospace design is increasingly incorporating Design Under Uncertainty based approaches to lead to more robust and reliable optimal designs. These approaches require dependable estimates of uncertainty in simulations for their success. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-28 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach

This book chapter introduces the principles and practical applications of uncertainty quantification in machine learning. It explains how to identify and distinguish between different types of uncertainty and presents methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Hans Weytjens , Wouter Verbeke

Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS)-based transition modeling is widely used in aerospace applications but suffers inaccuracies due to the Boussinesq turbulent viscosity hypothesis. The eigenspace perturbation method can estimate the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-08 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian
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