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The PAWN index is gaining traction among the modelling community as a sensitivity measure. However, the robustness to its design parameters has not yet been scrutinized: the size ($N$) and sampling ($\varepsilon$) of the model output, the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-03 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of functional-output models is usually performed by combining statistical techniques, such as basis expansions, metamodeling and sampling based estimation of sensitivity indices. By neglecting truncation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuri Taglieri Sáo , Olivier Roustant , Geraldo de Freitas Maciel

We propose a new framework for 2-D interpreting (features and samples) black-box machine learning models via a metamodeling technique, by which we study the output and input relationships of the underlying machine learning model. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Mohammadhossein Toutiaee , John Miller

Many real-world processes and phenomena are modeled using systems of ordinary differential equations with parameters. Given such a system, we say that a parameter is globally identifiable if it can be uniquely recovered from input and…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Hoon Hong , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Chee Yap

In uncertainty quantification, evaluating sensitivity measures under specific conditions (i.e., conditional Sobol' indices) is essential for systems with parameterized responses, such as spatial fields or varying operating conditions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-22 Shijie Zhong , Jiangfeng Fu

Sensitivity analysis is a process of computing sensitivity indices, which are certain measures of importance of parameters in influencing the outputs of mathematical models. Sensitivity indices computed in variance-based sensitivity…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-04 Tomasz Badowski

Despite the ubiquity of the Gaussian process regression model, few theoretical results are available that account for the fact that parameters of the covariance kernel typically need to be estimated from the dataset. This article provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Toni Karvonen , George Wynne , Filip Tronarp , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

Sensitivity analysis is an important concept to analyze the influences of parameters in a system, an equation or a collection of data. The methods used for sensitivity analysis are divided into deterministic and statistical techniques.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-12-25 Eduardo Vasconcelos , Adriano Souza , Kelvin Dias

There exist many methods for sensitivity analysis readily available to the practitioner. While each seeks to help the modeler answer the same general question -- How do sources of uncertainty or changes in the model inputs relate to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Devin Francom , Abigael Nachtsheim

Physical modeling of robotic system behavior is the foundation for controlling many robotic mechanisms to a satisfactory degree. Mechanisms are also typically designed in a way that good model accuracy can be achieved with relatively simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Sebastian Riedel , Freek Stulp

Energy systems modellers often resort to simplified system representations and deterministic model formulations (i.e., not considering uncertainty) to preserve computational tractability. However, reduced levels of detail and neglected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-18 Maria Yliruka , Stefano Moret , Nilay Shah

Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Jie Qi , Ruth E. Baker

We propose and assess a new global (derivative-free) optimization algorithm, inspired by the LIPO algorithm, which uses variance-based sensitivity analysis (Sobol indices) to reduce the number of calls to the objective function. This method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alexandre Janon

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at quantifying the contribution of input variables over the variability of model outputs. In the frame of functional outputs, a common goal is to compute sensitivity maps (SM), i.e sensitivity indices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Yuri Sao , Olivier Roustant , Geraldo de Freitas Maciel

Reaction-diffusion models are widely used to study spatially-extended chemical reaction systems. In order to understand how the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion model are affected by changes in its input parameters, efficient methods for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-08 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

Sensitivity analysis is routinely performed on simplified surrogate models as the cost of such analysis on the original model may be prohibitive. Little is known in general about the induced bias on the sensitivity results. Within the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud