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We study a probabilistic numerical method for the solution of both boundary and initial value problems that returns a joint Gaussian process posterior over the solution. Such methods have concrete value in the statistics on Riemannian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-13 Philipp Hennig , Søren Hauberg

We consider initial value problems of nonlinear dynamical systems, which include physical parameters. A quantity of interest depending on the solution is observed. A discretisation yields the trajectories of the quantity of interest in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Roland Pulch , Maha Youssef

Like many numerical methods, solvers for initial value problems (IVPs) on ordinary differential equations estimate an analytically intractable quantity, using the results of tractable computations as inputs. This structure is closely…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-14 Michael Schober , Simo Särkkä , Philipp Hennig

We propose a fast algorithm for the probabilistic solution of boundary value problems (BVPs), which are ordinary differential equations subject to boundary conditions. In contrast to previous work, we introduce a Gauss--Markov prior and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

Methods for inference and simulation of linearly constrained Gaussian Markov Random Fields (GMRF) are computationally prohibitive when the number of constraints is large. In some cases, such as for intrinsic GMRFs, they may even be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

For numerous parameter and state estimation problems, assimilating new data as they become available can help produce accurate and fast inference of unknown quantities. While most existing algorithms for solving those kind of ill-posed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Neil K. Chada , Marco A. Iglesias , Shuai Lu , Frank Werner

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

We propose a geometric approach for the numerical integration of singular initial value problems for (systems of) quasi-linear differential equations. It transforms the original problem into the problem of computing the unstable manifold at…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Werner M. Seiler , Matthias Seiss

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

We present a computationally-efficient strategy to initialise the hyperparameters of a Gaussian process (GP) avoiding the computation of the likelihood function. Our strategy can be used as a pretraining stage to find initial conditions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Felipe Tobar , Elsa Cazelles , Taco de Wolff

We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

Initial value problems -- a system of ordinary differential equations and corresponding initial conditions -- can be used to describe many physical phenomena including those arise in classical mechanics. We have developed a novel approach…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-27 Jack Griffiths , Steven A. Wrathmall , Simon A. Gardiner

Brown-Resnick processes are max-stable processes that are associated to Gaussian processes. Their simulation is often based on the corresponding spectral representation which is not unique. We study to what extent simulation accuracy and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Marco Oesting , Kirstin Strokorb

The computation of the probability of the first-passage time through a given threshold of a stochastic process is a classic problem that appears in many branches of physics. When the stochastic dynamics is markovian, the probability admits…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-05-05 Michele Maggiore , Antonio Riotto

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a powerful machine learning method which has recently enjoyed wider use, in particular in physical sciences. In its original formulation, GPR uses a square matrix of covariances among training data and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Sergei Manzhos , Manabu Ihara

The generalized eigenvalue problem (GEP) serves as a cornerstone in a wide range of applications in numerical linear algebra and scientific computing. However, traditional approaches that aim to maximize the classical Rayleigh quotient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Xiaozhi Liu , Yong Xia

Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Philippe Wenk , Gabriele Abbati , Michael A Osborne , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

In this work, we introduce a machine/deep learning methodology to solve parametric integrals. Besides classical machine learning approaches, we consider a differential learning framework that incorporates derivative information during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Álvaro Leitao , Jonatan Ráfales
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