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Prediction-based approaches are widely used in neural architecture search (NAS), where a predictor estimates the performance of candidate architectures to guide selection. However, existing predictors are typically trained via supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Liping Deng , MingQing Xiao

We present a novel Bayesian approach to analysing multiple time-series with the aim of detecting abnormal regions. These are regions where the properties of the data change from some normal or baseline behaviour. We allow for the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-17 Lawrence Bardwell , Paul Fearnhead

Addressing selection bias in latent variable causal discovery is important yet underexplored, largely due to a lack of suitable statistical tools: While various tools beyond basic conditional independencies have been developed to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Haoyue Dai , Yiwen Qiu , Ignavier Ng , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Reasoning based on causality, instead of association has been considered as a key ingredient towards real machine intelligence. However, it is a challenging task to infer causal relationship/structure among variables. In recent years, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-15 Zhitang Chen , Shengyu Zhu , Yue Liu , Tim Tse

Conditional independence (CI) testing is frequently used in data analysis and machine learning for various scientific fields and it forms the basis of constraint-based causal discovery. Oftentimes, CI testing relies on strong, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Wiebke Günther , Urmi Ninad , jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Causal representation learning has emerged as the center of action in causal machine learning research. In particular, multi-domain datasets present a natural opportunity for showcasing the advantages of causal representation learning over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Kartik Ahuja , Amin Mansouri , Yixin Wang

Learning models that can handle distribution shifts is a key challenge in domain generalization. Invariance learning, an approach that focuses on identifying features invariant across environments, improves model generalization by capturing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yiran Jia , Jelena Bradic

Causal disentanglement aims to uncover a representation of data using latent variables that are interrelated through a causal model. Such a representation is identifiable if the latent model that explains the data is unique. In this paper,…

While human infants robustly discover their own causal efficacy, standard reinforcement learning agents remain brittle, as their reliance on correlation-based rewards fails in noisy, ecologically valid scenarios. To address this, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Xia Xu , Jochen Triesch

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Genetic variation in human populations is influenced by geographic ancestry due to spatial locality in historical mating and migration patterns. Spatial population structure in genetic datasets has been traditionally analyzed using either…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-26 Anand Bhaskar , Adel Javanmard , Thomas A. Courtade , David Tse

Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions in the absence of interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Anish Dhir , Ruby Sedgwick , Avinash Kori , Ben Glocker , Mark van der Wilk

Design-based causal inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population causal inference, is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks, largely due to the merit that its validity can be guaranteed by study design…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Siyu Heng , Jiawei Zhang , Yang Feng

Parental origin effects play an important role in mammal development and disorder. Case-control mother-child pair genotype data can be used to detect parental origin effects and is often convenient to collect in practice. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Yuang Tian , Hong Zhang , Alexandre Bureau , Hagit Hochner , Jinbo Chen

Genealogy research is the study of family history using available resources such as historical records. Ancestry provides its customers with one of the world's largest online genealogical index with billions of records from a wide range of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Peng Jiang , Yingrui Yang , Gann Bierner , Fengjie Alex Li , Ruhan Wang , Azadeh Moghtaderi

Advances in the effectiveness of machine learning models have come at the cost of enormous complexity resulting in a poor understanding of how they function. Local surrogate methods have been used to approximate the workings of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Christopher Burger , Charles Walter

The reliability and proper function of data-driven applications hinge on the data's continued conformance to the applications' initial design. When data deviates from this initial profile, system behavior becomes unpredictable. Data…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Anna Fariha , Ashish Tiwari , Arjun Radhakrishna , Sumit Gulwani , Alexandra Meliou

We develop stochastic variational inference, a scalable algorithm for approximating posterior distributions. We develop this technique for a large class of probabilistic models and we demonstrate it with two probabilistic topic models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-24 Matt Hoffman , David M. Blei , Chong Wang , John Paisley

The space of possible human cultures is vast, but some cultural configurations are more consistent with cognitive and social constraints than others. This leads to a ``landscape'' of possibilities that our species has explored over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-13 Victor Møller Poulsen , Simon DeDeo

Establishing causal relations between random variables from observational data is perhaps the most important challenge in today's \blue{science}. In remote sensing and geosciences this is of special relevance to better understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adrián Pérez-Suay , Gustau Camps-Valls