English
Related papers

Related papers: Efficient Volatility Estimation for L\'evy Process…

200 papers

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

The emergence of the exit events from a bounded domain containing a stable fixed point induced by non-Gaussian L\'evy fluctuations plays a pivotal role in practical physical systems. In the limit of weak noise, we develop a Hamiltonian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu , Yanxia Zhang

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

We statistically analyse a multivariate HJM diffusion model with stochastic volatility. The volatility process of the first factor is left totally unspecified while the volatility of the second factor is the product of an unknown process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet , Marc Hoffmann

We provide a novel expression of the scale function for a L\'evy processes with negative phase-type jumps. It is in terms of a certain transition rate matrix which is explicit up to a single positive number. A monotone iterative scheme for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The equation with the time fractional substantial derivative and space fractional derivative describes the distribution of the functionals of the L\'evy flights; and the equation is derived as the macroscopic limit of the continuous time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Minghua Chen , Weihua Deng

With the rapid increase of valuable observational, experimental and simulated data for complex systems, much efforts have been devoted to identifying governing laws underlying the evolution of these systems. Despite the wide applications of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Yang Li , Yubin Lu , Shengyuan Xu , Jinqiao Duan

We consider the problem of estimation of the drift parameter of an ergodic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'evy process with heavy tails. The process is observed continuously on a long time interval $[0,T]$, $T\to\infty$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Alexander Gushchin , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Marian Ritsch

This paper aims at semi-parametrically estimating the input process to a L\'evy-driven queue by sampling the workload process at Poisson times. We construct a method-of-moments based estimator for the L\'evy process' characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Liron Ravner , Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

We propose a method for constructing sparse high-frequency volatility estimators that are robust against change points in the spot volatility process. The estimators we propose are $\ell_1$-regularized versions of existing volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Greeshma Balabhadra , El Mehdi Ainasse , Pawel Polak

We propose moment-based variational inference as a flexible framework for approximate smoothing of latent Markov jump processes. The main ingredient of our approach is to partition the set of all transitions of the latent process into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

In the present paper, we obtain an explicit product formula for products of multiple integrals w.r.t. a random measure associated with a L\'evy process. As a building block, we use a representation formula for products of martingales from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Paolo Di Tella , Christel Geiss , Alexander Steinicke

For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose new jump-adapted weak approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations driven by pure-jump L\'evy processes. The idea is to replace the driving L\'evy process $Z$ with a finite intensity process which has the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Peter Tankov

We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

We focus on estimating the integrated covariance of log-price processes in the presence of market microstructure noise. We construct an efficient unbiased estimator for the quadratic covariation of two It\^{o} processes in the case where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-19 Markus Bibinger

We study a Monte Carlo algorithm for simulation of probability distributions based on stochastic step functions, and compare to the traditional Metropolis/Hastings method. Unlike the latter, the step function algorithm can produce an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Torquil Macdonald Sørensen , Fred Espen Benth

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ma. Elena Hernández-Hernández , Saul Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatović

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu