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Delayed outcomes are ubiquitous in online experimentation. When such a temporal dimension is present, treatment influences not only the outcome value but also the outcome timing, which can move in opposite directions. Motivated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Michael Lindon , Nathan Kallus

In real-world decision making, outcomes are often delayed, meaning individuals must make multiple decisions before receiving any feedback. Moreover, feedback can be presented in different ways: it may summarize the overall results of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Tailia Malloy , Maria Jose Ferreira , Fei Fang , Cleotilde Gonzalez

The standard assumption in reinforcement learning (RL) is that agents observe feedback for their actions immediately. However, in practice feedback is often observed in delay. This paper studies online learning in episodic Markov decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Tiancheng Jin , Tal Lancewicki , Haipeng Luo , Yishay Mansour , Aviv Rosenberg

Effective budget allocation is crucial for optimizing the performance of digital advertising campaigns. However, the development of practical budget allocation algorithms remain limited, primarily due to the lack of public datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Briti Gangopadhyay , Zhao Wang , Alberto Silvio Chiappa , Shingo Takamatsu

We study the multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem with composite and anonymous feedback. In this model, the reward of pulling an arm spreads over a period of time (we call this period as reward interval) and the player receives partial rewards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Siwei Wang , Haoyun Wang , Longbo Huang

Adaptive online testing efficiently assesses examinee proficiency by dynamically adjusting the difficulty of test items based on their performance. To achieve this, items are selected so that their difficulty closely matches the test…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Hideo Hirose

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms are efficient approaches to reduce the opportunity cost of online experimentation and are used by companies to find the best product from periodically refreshed product catalogs. However, these algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Mohsen Bayati , Junyu Cao , Wanning Chen

Data that is gathered adaptively --- via bandit algorithms, for example --- exhibits bias. This is true both when gathering simple numeric valued data --- the empirical means kept track of by stochastic bandit algorithms are biased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Seth Neel , Aaron Roth

Time series forecasting is of significant importance across various domains. However, it faces significant challenges due to distribution shift. This issue becomes particularly pronounced in online deployment scenarios where data arrives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

Deepfake (DF) detectors face significant challenges when deployed in real-world environments, particularly when encountering test samples deviated from training data through either postprocessing manipulations or distribution shifts. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Hong-Hanh Nguyen-Le , Van-Tuan Tran , Dinh-Thuc Nguyen , Nhien-An Le-Khac

Sequential experiments are often characterized by an exploration-exploitation tradeoff that is captured by the multi-armed bandit (MAB) framework. This framework has been studied and applied, typically when at each time period feedback is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Yonatan Gur , Ahmadreza Momeni

In this paper, we provide the first investigation into adaptive combinatorial experimental design, focusing on the trade-off between regret minimization and statistical power in combinatorial multi-armed bandits (CMAB). While minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Hongrui Xie , Junyu Cao , Kan Xu

Conducting randomized experiments in education settings raises the question of how we can use machine learning techniques to improve educational interventions. Using Multi-Armed Bandits (MAB) algorithms like Thompson Sampling (TS) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Fernando J. Yanez , Angela Zavaleta-Bernuy , Ziwen Han , Michael Liut , Anna Rafferty , Joseph Jay Williams

This paper introduces a new online learning framework for multiclass classification called learning with diluted bandit feedback. At every time step, the algorithm predicts a candidate label set instead of a single label for the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Gaurav Batra , Naresh Manwani

Multi-armed bandit algorithms provide solutions for sequential decision-making where learning takes place by interacting with the environment. In this work, we model a distributed optimization problem as a multi-agent kernelized multi-armed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Ayush Rai , Shaoshuai Mou

Real-life applications of deferred-acceptance (DA) matching algorithms sometimes exhibit errors or changes to the matching inputs that are discovered only after the algorithm has been run and the results are announced to participants.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Abraham Gale , Amélie Marian , David M. Pennock

We report on a significant improvement of the classical time-delayed feedback control method for stabilization of unstable periodic orbits or steady states. In an electronic circuit experiment we were able to realize time-varying and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-02-03 Thomas Jüngling , Aleksandar Gjurchinovski , Viktor Urumov

Black box optimisation of an unknown function from expensive and noisy evaluations is a ubiquitous problem in machine learning, academic research and industrial production. An abstraction of the problem can be formulated as a kernel based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Sattar Vakili , Danyal Ahmed , Alberto Bernacchia , Ciara Pike-Burke

Online recommender systems often face long delays in receiving feedback, especially when optimizing for some long-term metrics. While mitigating the effects of delays in learning is well-understood in stationary environments, the problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-12 Claire Vernade , Andras Gyorgy , Timothy Mann

Delayed rewards problem in contextual bandits has been of interest in various practical settings. We study randomized allocation strategies and provide an understanding on how the exploration-exploitation tradeoff is affected by delays in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Sakshi Arya , Yuhong Yang
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