Related papers: Stochastic SICA Epidemic Model with Jump L\'{e}vy …

We study inference for the driving L\'evy noise of an ergodic stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, when the process is observed at high-frequency and long time and when the drift and scale coefficients contain finite-dimensional…

We consider an SDE in R^m of the type dX(t)=a(X(t))dt+dU(t) with a L\'evy process U and study the problem for the distribution of a solution to be regular in various senses. We do not impose any specific conditions on the L\'evy measure of…

We consider a standard \textit{susceptible-infected-susceptible} (SIS) model to study behaviors of steady states of epidemic spreading in small-world networks. Using analytical methods and large scale simulations, we recover the usual…

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

Dynamic models have been successfully used in producing estimates of HIV epidemics at the national level due to their epidemiological nature and their ability to estimate prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates simultaneously. Recently,…

We study the spread of disease in an SIS model. The model considered is a time-varying, switched model, in which the parameters of the SIS model are subject to abrupt change. We show that the joint spectral radius can be used as a threshold…

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

Let $A_\pm>0$, $\beta\in(0,1)$, and let $Z^{(\alpha)}$ be a strictly $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process with the jump measure $\nu(\mathrm{d} z)=(C_+\mathbb{I}_{(0,\infty)}(z)+ C_-\mathbb{I}_{(-\infty,0)}(z))|z|^{-1-\alpha}\,\mathrm{d} z$,…

We consider non-degenerate SDEs with a $\beta$-Holder continuous and bounded drift term and driven by a Levy noise $L$ which is of $\alpha$-stable type. If $\alpha \in [1,2)$ and $\beta \in (1 - \frac{\alpha}{2},1) $ we show pathwise…

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

The estimation of the L\'{e}vy density, the infinite-dimensional parameter controlling the jump dynamics of a L\'{e}vy process, is considered here under a discrete-sampling scheme. In this setting, the jumps are latent variables, the…

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

We investigate predictions of stochastic compartmental models on the severity of disease outbreaks. The models we consider are the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) for bacterial infections, and the Susceptible -Infected-Removed (SIR)…

We propose a lattice dynamical system that arises in a discrete diffusive two-group epidemic model with latency in a patchy environment. The model considers the SIS form and latency of the disease in group 1, while the SIR form without…

This paper investigates a class of stochastic Logistic harvesting models driven by tempered stable processes, with a one-sided power-law L\'evy measure. We establish threshold conditions for population extinction and persistence, prove the…

Bifurcation analysis has many applications in different scientific fields, such as electronics, biology, ecology, and economics. In population biology, deterministic methods of bifurcation are commonly used. In contrast, stochastic…

This paper explores a stochastic Gause predator-prey model with bounded or sub-linear functional response. The model, described by a system of stochastic differential equations, captures the influence of stochastic fluctuations on…

This paper introduces a way of modeling the epidemic transmission rate using a stochastic process of the form $(\beta_t = \varphi(t)P_t : t \ge 0)$, where the positive deterministic function $\varphi(t)$ models the impact of a public health…

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…