Related papers: Splitting Probabilities of Jump Processes

Distributional identities for a L\'evy process $X_t$, its quadratic variation process $V_t$ and its maximal jump processes, are derived, and used to make "small time" (as $t\downarrow0$) asymptotic comparisons between them. The…

We derive a general expression for the probability of global spreading starting from a single infected seed for contagion processes acting on generalized, correlated random networks. We employ a simple probabilistic argument that encodes…

Consider two independent Goldstein-Kac telegraph processes $X_1(t)$ and $X_2(t)$ on the real line $\Bbb R$. The processes $X_k(t), \; k=1,2,$ are performed by stochastic motions at finite constant velocities $c_1>0, \; c_2>0,$ that start at…

We analyse a random walk on the ring of integers mod $n$, which at each time point can make an additive `step' or a multiplicative `jump'. When the probability of making a jump tends to zero as an appropriate power of $n$ we prove the…

For a random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ that is attracted to a strictly stable process with index $\alpha\in (1, 2)$ we obtain the asymptotic form of the transition probability for the walk killed when it hits a finite set.…

We consider two independent Goldstein-Kac telegraph processes $X_1(t)$ and $X_2(t)$ on the real line $\Bbb R$, both developing with finite constant speed $c>0$, that, at the initial time instant $t=0$, simultaneously start from the origin…

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

We consider the class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP), whose state space is $\R\_{+}^{*}$, that possess an increasing deterministic motion and that shrink deterministically when they jump. Well known examples for this…

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

We consider a one dimensional random walk in random environment that is uniformly biased to one direction. In addition to the transition probability, the jump rate of the random walk is assumed to be spatially inhomogeneous and random. We…

We study the first-passage properties of a jump process with constant drift where jump amplitudes and inter-arrival times follow arbitrary light-tailed distributions with smooth densities. Using a mapping to an effective discrete-time…

A continuously measured quantum system with multiple jump channels gives rise to a stochastic process described by random jump times and random emitted symbols, representing each jump channel. While much is known about the waiting time…

In a geometric inhomogeneous random graph vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and are equipped with independent weights following a heavy tailed distribution. Any pair of distinct vertices is independently forming an edge…

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

Denoising diffusions sample from a probability distribution $\mu$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$ by constructing a stochastic process $({\hat{\boldsymbol x}}_t:t\ge 0)$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$ such that ${\hat{\boldsymbol x}}_0$ is easy to sample, but the…

In this paper, we address a model selection problem for ergodic jump diffusion processes based on high-frequency samples. We evaluate the expected genuine log-likelihood function and derive an Akaike-type information criterion based on the…

Rare events in the first-passage distributions of jump processes are capable of triggering anomalous reactions or series of events. Estimating their probability is particularly important when the jump probabilities have broad-tailed…

The crossing probability in the time direction is defined for an off-equilibrium reaction-diffusion system as the probability that the system of size L is still active at time t, in the finite-size scaling limit. Exact results are obtained…