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For a long time predicting, studying and analyzing financial indices has been of major interest for the financial community. Recently, there has been a growing interest in the Deep-Learning community to make use of reinforcement learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Jatin Nainani , Nirman Taterh , Md Ausaf Rashid , Ankit Khivasara

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…

Most current assessments use ex post proxies that miss uncertainty and fail to consistently capture the rapid change in bitcoin mining. We introduce a unified, ex ante statistical model that derives expected return, downside risk, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Yuting Cai , Ruthav Sadali , Korok Ray , Chao Tian

In markets such as digital advertising auctions, bidders want to maximize value rather than payoff. This is different to the utility functions typically assumed in auction theory and leads to different strategies and outcomes. We refer to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Salman Fadaei , Martin Bichler

Bitcoin mining presents a significant economic incentive for efficient hashing and broadcast of data, both parameters stemming from the Proofs of Work used to advance the network. This incentive has led to the development of Bitcoin…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Jonathan Harvey-Buschel , Can Kisagun

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

A reputation of high volatility accompanies the emergence of Bitcoin as a financial asset. This paper intends to nuance this reputation and clarify our understanding of Bitcoin's volatility. Using daily, weekly, and monthly closing prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Nassim Dehouche

In response to growing demand for resilient and transparent financial instruments, we introduce a novel framework for replicating private equity (PE) performance using liquid, AI-enhanced strategies. Despite historically delivering robust…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 E. Benhamou , JJ. Ohana , B. Guez , E. Setrouk , T. Jacquot

We design a novel calibration procedure that is designed to handle the specific characteristics of options on cryptocurrency markets, namely large bid-ask spreads and the possibility of missing or incoherent prices in the considered data…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-08 Mnacho Echenim , Emmanuel Gobet , Anne-Claire Maurice

A decade long thrive of cryptocurrency has shown its potential as a source of alternative-finance and the security and the robustness of the underpinning blockchain technology. However, most cryptocurrencies fail to show inimitability and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Yibin Xu , Yangyu Huang , Jianhua Shao

Price Per Unit (PPU) is an essential information for consumers shopping on e-commerce websites when comparing products. Finding total quantity in a product is required for computing PPU, which is not always provided by the sellers. To…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Tarik Arici , Kushal Kumar , Hayreddin Çeker , Anoop S V K K Saladi , Ismail Tutar

The Artificial Intelligence paradigm (hereinafter referred to as "AI") builds on the analysis of data able, among other things, to snap pictures of the individuals' behaviors and preferences. Such data represent the most valuable currency…

General Economics · Economics 2019-04-30 Otello Ardovino , Jacopo Arpetti , Marco Delmastro

The Bitcoin payment system involves two agent types: Users that transact with the currency and pay fees and miners in charge of authorizing transactions and securing the system in return for these fees. Two of Bitcoin's challenges are (i)…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Ron Lavi , Or Sattath , Aviv Zohar

The cryptocurrency market surpassed the barrier of \$100 billion market capitalization in June 2017, after months of steady growth. Despite its increasing relevance in the financial world, however, a comprehensive analysis of the whole…

Quantum computers are not yet up to the task of providing computational advantages for practical stochastic diffusion models commonly used by financial analysts. In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic processes that are both…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-03 Eric Ghysels , Jack Morgan , Hamed Mohammadbagherpoor

Bitcoin mining is a wasteful and resource-intensive process. To add a block of transactions to the blockchain, miners spend a considerable amount of energy. The Bitcoin protocol, named 'proof of work' (PoW), resembles a lottery and the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Andrei Lihu , Jincheng Du , Igor Barjaktarevic , Patrick Gerzanics , Mark Harvilla

Prior work has investigated variations of prediction markets that preserve participants' (differential) privacy, which formed the basis of useful mechanisms for purchasing data for machine learning objectives. Such markets required…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

Bitcoin's price has been described as following a power law (PL) in time, $P \sim t^{\beta}$ with $\hat\beta \approx 5.7$ over 2010-2026. We test this claim using the Clauset-Shalizi-Newman protocol applied to Bitcoin's tail-relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-21 Carlos Baquero , Raquel Menezes

We introduce the fundamental ideas and challenges of Predictable AI, a nascent research area that explores the ways in which we can anticipate key validity indicators (e.g., performance, safety) of present and future AI ecosystems. We argue…

Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency has been one of the most important digital coins and the first decentralized digital currency. Deep neural networks, on the other hand, has shown promising results recently; however, we require huge amount of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Parth Daxesh Modi , Kamyar Arshi , Pertami J. Kunz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir
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