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This paper considers equity premium prediction, for which mean regression can be problematic due to heteroscedasticity and heavy-tails of the error. We show advantages of quantile predictions using a novel penalized quantile regression that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Shaobo Li , Ben Sherwood

Quantile regression is a powerful statistical methodology that complements the classical linear regression by examining how covariates influence the location, scale, and shape of the entire response distribution and offering a global view…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-11 Lu Xiaoming , Fan Zhaozhi

Quantile regression relates the quantile of the response to a linear predictor. For a discrete response distributions, like the Poission, Binomial and the negative Binomial, this approach is not feasible as the quantile function is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Tullia Padellini , Haavard Rue

This paper investigates the identification of quantiles and quantile regression parameters when observations are set valued. We define the identification set of quantiles of random sets in a way that extends the definition of quantiles for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Arie Beresteanu , Yuya Sasaki

Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks (QRNNs) are robust candidates for modelling and predicting future values in multivariate time series. However, the effective implementation of some QRNN models is limited by the need for mid-circuit…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-31 José Daniel Viqueira , Daniel Faílde , Mariamo M. Juane , Andrés Gómez , David Mera

A two-stage approach is proposed to overcome the problem in quantile regression, where separately fitted curves for several quantiles may cross. The standard Bayesian quantile regression model is applied in the first stage, followed by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 Thais Rodrigues , Yanan Fan

This paper introduces a novel and scalable framework for uncertainty estimation and separation with applications in data driven modeling in science and engineering tasks where reliable uncertainty quantification is critical. Leveraging an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Navid Ansari , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

Real-world time series data often exhibits substantial missing values, posing challenges for advanced analysis. A common approach to addressing this issue is imputation, where the primary challenge lies in determining the appropriate values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ying Liu , Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Richang Hong

Quantile regression is a statistical method for estimating conditional quantiles of a response variable. In addition, for mean estimation, it is well known that quantile regression is more robust to outliers than $l_2$-based methods. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Steven Siwei Ye , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We investigate an empirical quantile estimation approach to solve chance-constrained nonlinear optimization problems. Our approach is based on the reformulation of the chance constraint as an equivalent quantile constraint to provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Fengqiao Luo , Jeffrey Larson

Quantifying predictive uncertainty is essential for safe and trustworthy real-world AI deployment. Yet, fully nonparametric estimation of conditional distributions remains challenging for multivariate targets. We propose Tomographic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Takuya Kanazawa

This article presents a new method for forecasting Value at Risk. Convolutional neural networks can do time series forecasting, since they can learn local patterns in time. A simple modification enables them to forecast not the mean, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Gábor Petneházi

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

Nonparametric regression is a standard statistical tool with increased importance in the Big Data era. Boundary points pose additional difficulties but local polynomial regression can be used to alleviate them. Local linear regression, for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-04 Srinjoy Das , Dimitris N. Politis

The computational prediction algorithm of neural network, or deep learning, has drawn much attention recently in statistics as well as in image recognition and natural language processing. Particularly in statistical application for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yichen Jia , Jong-Hyeon Jeong

Censored quantile regression (CQR) has become a valuable tool to study the heterogeneous association between a possibly censored outcome and a set of covariates, yet computation and statistical inference for CQR have remained a challenge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Quantile regression is a statistical method which, unlike classical regression, aims to predict the conditional quantiles. Classical quantile regression methods face difficulties, particularly when the quantile under consideration is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Lucien M. Vidagbandji , Alexandre Berred , Cyrille Bertelle , Laurent Amanton

This paper presents a Quantum Reinforcement Learning (QRL) solution to the dynamic portfolio optimization problem based on Variational Quantum Circuits. The implemented QRL approaches are quantum analogues of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Vincent Gurgul , Ying Chen , Stefan Lessmann

Quantile regression is a fundamental tool for distributional learning but poses significant optimization challenges for deep models due to the non-smoothness of the pinball loss. We propose ConquerNet, a class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Tianpai Luo , Fangwei Wu , Weichi Wu

Quantization of a probability measure means representing it with a finite set of Dirac masses that approximates the input distribution well enough (in some metric space of probability measures). Various methods exists to do so, but the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Gabriel Turinici
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