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This study proposes a temporal modeling framework with a counterfactual policy-simulation layer for student dropout in higher education, using LMS engagement data and administrative withdrawal records. Dropout is operationalized as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Rafael da Silva , Jeff Eicher , Gregory Longo

In this work, the problem of predicting dropout risk in undergraduate studies is addressed from a perspective of algorithmic fairness. We develop a machine learning method to predict the risks of university dropout and underperformance. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Marzieh Karimi-Haghighi , Carlos Castillo , Davinia Hernandez-Leo , Veronica Moreno Oliver

Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) are attracting the attention of people all over the world. Regardless the platform, numbers of registrants for online courses are impressive but in the same time, completion rates are disappointing.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Tom Rolandus Hagedoorn , Gerasimos Spanakis

The high level of attrition and low rate of certification in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) has prompted a great deal of research. Prior researchers have focused on predicting dropout based upon behavioral features such as student…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Niki Gitinabard , Farzaneh Khoshnevisan , Collin F. Lynch , Elle Yuan Wang

Presents a differentiated teaching proposal that allows the student to be the agent in the construction of knowledge, overcoming the difficulties that Mathematics presents. Aiming to understand how the use of statistical tools can…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-10-13 Manoel Benedito Nirdo da Silva Campos

The main objective of higher education institutions is to provide quality education to its students. One way to achieve highest level of quality in higher education system is by discovering knowledge for prediction regarding enrolment of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-01-18 Brijesh Kumar Baradwaj , Saurabh Pal

Early identification of college dropouts can provide tremendous value for improving student success and institutional effectiveness, and predictive analytics are increasingly used for this purpose. However, ethical concerns have emerged…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Renzhe Yu , Hansol Lee , René F. Kizilcec

Supporting equitable instruction is an important issue for teachers attending diverse STEM classrooms. Visual learning analytics along with effective student survey measures can support providing on time feedback to teachers in making…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Ali Raza , William R. Penuel , Tamara Sumner

Data visualization is a core part of statistical practice and is ubiquitous in many fields. Although there are numerous books on data visualization, instructors in statistics and data science may be unsure how to teach data visualization,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-07-31 Zach Branson , Monica Paz Parra , Ronald Yurko

The time it takes a student to graduate with a university degree is mitigated by a variety of factors such as their background, the academic performance at university, and their integration into the social communities of the university they…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-01-27 John M. Aiken , Riccardo De Bin , Morten Hjorth-Jensen , Marcos D. Caballero

Current tools for exploratory data analysis (EDA) require users to manually select data attributes, statistical computations and visual encodings. This can be daunting for large-scale, complex data. We introduce Foresight, a visualization…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-10-02 Çağatay Demiralp , Peter J. Haas , Srinivasan Parthasarathy , Tejaswini Pedapati

Interactive online learning environments, represented by Massive AI-empowered Courses (MAIC), leverage LLM-driven multi-agent systems to transform passive MOOCs into dynamic, text-based platforms, enhancing interactivity through LLMs. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yuanchun Wang , Yiyang Fu , Jifan Yu , Daniel Zhang-Li , Zheyuan Zhang , Joy Lim Jia Yin , Yucheng Wang , Peng Zhou , Jing Zhang , Huiqin Liu

The field of learning analytics needs to adopt a more rigorous approach for predictive model evaluation that matches the complex practice of model-building. In this work, we present a procedure to statistically test hypotheses about model…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-19 Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

Early warning systems (EWS) are predictive tools at the center of recent efforts to improve graduation rates in public schools across the United States. These systems assist in targeting interventions to individual students by predicting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Juan C. Perdomo , Tolani Britton , Moritz Hardt , Rediet Abebe

The importance of retention rate for higher education institutions has encouraged data analysts to present various methods to predict at-risk students. The present study, motivated by the same encouragement, proposes a deep learning model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Sahar Voghoei , James M. Byars , Scott Jackson King , Soheil Shapouri , Hamed Yaghoobian , Khaled M. Rasheed , Hamid R. Arabnia

This study was based on data analysis of academic histories of civil engineering students at FACET-UNT. Our main objective was to determine the academic performance variables that have a significant impact on the dropout of the career. To…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Hugo Roger Paz

In the institutional research mode, in order to explore which characteristics are the best indicators for predicting academic risk from the student behavior data sets that have high-dimensional, unbalanced classified small sample, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Shudong Yang

Students' perception of excessive difficulty in STEM degrees lowers their motivation and therefore affects their performance. According to prior research, the use of gamification techniques promote engagement, motivation and fun when…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Raúl Lara-Cabrera , Fernando Ortega , Edgar Talavera , Daniel López-Fernández

Timely prediction of students at high risk of dropout is critical for early intervention and improving educational outcomes. However, in offline educational settings, poor data quality, limited scale, and high heterogeneity often hinder the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Jiabei Cheng , Zhen-Qun Yang , Jiannong Cao , Yu Yang , Xinzhe Zheng

Predictive models for student dropout, while often accurate, frequently rely on opportunistic feature sets and suffer from undocumented data leakage, limiting their explanatory power and institutional usefulness. This paper introduces a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-18 H. R. Paz