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We consider an illiquid financial market with different regimes modeled by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. The investor can trade a stock only at the discrete arrival times of a Cox process with intensity depending on the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-26 Paul Gassiat , Fausto Gozzi , Huyên Pham

We investigate the ergodic problem of growth-rate maximization under a class of risk constraints in the context of incomplete, It\^{o}-process models of financial markets with random ergodic coefficients. Including {\em value-at-risk}…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Traian A. Pirvu , Gordan Zitkovic

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

We consider risk-averse learning in repeated unknown games where the goal of the agents is to minimize their individual risk of incurring significantly high cost. Specifically, the agents use the conditional value at risk (CVaR) as a risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-08 Zifan Wang , Yi Shen , Zachary I. Bell , Scott Nivison , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson

We study the optimal portfolio allocation problem from a Bayesian perspective using value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) as risk measures. By applying the posterior predictive distribution for the future portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-04 Taras Bodnar , Mathias Lindholm , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

In this paper we study a utility maximization problem with both optimal control and optimal stopping in a finite time horizon. The value function can be characterized by a variational equation that involves a free boundary problem of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-23 Jingtang Ma , Jie Xing , Harry Zheng

This paper is devoted to study the effects arising from imposing a value-at-risk (VaR) constraint in mean-variance portfolio selection problem for an investor who receives a stochastic cash flow which he/she must then invest in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Jun Ye , Tiantian Li

The optimal operation problem of electric vehicle aggregator (EVA) is considered. An EVA can participate in energy and regulation markets with its current and upcoming EVs, thus reducing its total cost of purchasing energy to fulfill EVs'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Liling Gong , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a leading tail-risk measure in finance, central to both regulatory and portfolio optimization frameworks. Classical estimation of CVaR and its gradients relies on Monte Carlo simulation, incurring…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Vasilis Skarlatos , Nikos Konofaos

Optimizing dynamic risk with stochastic policies is challenging in both policy updates and value learning. The former typically requires transition perturbation, while the latter may rely on model-based approaches. To address these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Yudong Luo , Erick Delage

Given measurements from sensors and a set of standard forces, an optimization based approach to identify weakness in structures is introduced. The key novelty lies in letting the load and measurements to be random variables. Subsequently…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Facundo N. Airaudo , Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Umarkhon Rakhimov

Risk forecasts drive trading constraints and capital allocation, yet losses are nonstationary and regime-dependent. This paper studies sequential one-sided VaR control via conformal calibration. I propose regime-weighted conformal risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-05 Marc Schmitt

This paper introduces an intermediary between conditional expectation and conditional sublinear expectation, called R-conditioning. The R-conditioning of a random-vector in $L^2$ is defined as the best $L^2$-estimate, given a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-29 Anastasis Kratsios

We derive a closed-form expression capturing the degree of Relative Risk Aversion (RRA) of investors for non-"fair" lotteries. We argue that our formula is superior to earlier methods that have been proposed, as it is a function of only…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-10 George Samartzis , Nikitas Pittis

We solve an expected utility-maximization problem with a Value-at-risk constraint on the terminal portfolio value in an incomplete financial market due to stochastic volatility. To derive the optimal investment strategy, we use the dynamic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-21 Marcos Escobar-Anel , Yevhen Havrylenko , Rudi Zagst

In this paper, we study the stochastic combinatorial multi-armed bandit problem under semi-bandit feedback. While much work has been done on algorithms that optimize the expected reward for linear as well as some general reward functions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Shaarad Ayyagari , Ambedkar Dukkipati

We study a single risky financial asset model subject to price impact and transaction cost over an infinite horizon. An investor needs to execute a long position in the asset affecting the price of the asset and possibly incurring in fixed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-19 Mauricio Junca

Optimizing risk-averse objectives in discounted MDPs is challenging because most models do not admit direct dynamic programming equations and require complex history-dependent policies. In this paper, we show that the risk-averse {\em total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xihong Su , Julien Grand-Clément , Marek Petrik

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

Planning in Markov decision processes (MDPs) typically optimises the expected cost. However, optimising the expectation does not consider the risk that for any given run of the MDP, the total cost received may be unacceptably high. An…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Marc Rigter , Paul Duckworth , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes