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A binary classifier that tries to predict if the price of an asset will increase or decrease naturally gives rise to a trading strategy that follows the prediction and thus always has a position in the market. Selective classification…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Nestoras Chalkidis , Rahul Savani

Stock market indices serve as fundamental market measurement that quantify systematic market dynamics. However, accurate index price prediction remains challenging, primarily because existing approaches treat indices as isolated time series…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-05 Junzhe Jiang , Chang Yang , Xinrun Wang , Bo Li

We introduce TechRank, a recursive algorithm based on a bi-partite graph with weighted nodes. We develop TechRank to link companies and technologies based on the method of reflection. We allow the algorithm to incorporate exogenous…

Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Fuli Feng , Xiangnan He , Xiang Wang , Cheng Luo , Yiqun Liu , Tat-Seng Chua

The investment on the stock market is prone to be affected by the Internet. For the purpose of improving the prediction accuracy, we propose a multi-task stock prediction model that not only considers the stock correlations but also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Jieyun Huang , Yunjia Zhang , Jialai Zhang , Xi Zhang

The symbolic dynamics technique is well-known for low-dimensional dynamical systems and chaotic maps, and lies at the roots of the thermodynamic formalism of dynamical systems. Here we show that this technique can also be successfully…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-02 Dan Xu , Christian Beck

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

The cumulant analysis plays an important role in non Gaussian distributed data analysis. The shares' prices returns are good example of such data. The purpose of this research is to develop the cumulant based algorithm and use it to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Krzysztof Domino

This paper proposed a method for stock prediction. In terms of feature extraction, we extract the features of stock-related news besides stock prices. We first select some seed words based on experience which are the symbols of good news…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-25 Zeya Zhang , Weizheng Chen , Hongfei Yan

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

A well-known but rarely used approach to text categorization uses conditional entropy estimates computed using data compression tools. Text affinity scores derived from compressed sizes can be used for classification and ranking tasks, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Nitya Kasturi , Igor L. Markov

This paper proposes a novel stock selection strategy framework based on combined machine learning algorithms. Two types of weighting methods for three representative machine learning algorithms are developed to predict the returns of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Lin Cai , Zhiyang He , Caiya Zhang

We revisit the problem of predicting directional movements of stock prices based on news articles: here our algorithm uses daily articles from The Wall Street Journal to predict the closing stock prices on the same day. We propose a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Felix Ming Fai Wong , Zhenming Liu , Mung Chiang

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

This paper proposes an information retrieval method for the economy news. The effect of economy news, are researched in the word level and stock market values are considered as the ground proof. The correlation between stock market prices…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-03-11 Sadi Evren Seker , Cihan Mert , Khaled Al-Naami , Nuri Ozalp , Ugur Ayan

This article introduces an intrinsic entropy model that can be used as an indicator to gauge investor interest in a given exchange-traded security, along with the state of the general market corroborated by individual security trade data.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Claudiu Vinte , Ion Smeureanu , Titus-Felix Furtuna , Marcel Ausloos

This paper focuses on the application of quantitative portfolio management by using integer programming and clustering techniques. Investors seek to gain the highest profits and lowest risk in capital markets. A data-oriented analysis of US…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Prabhu Prasad Panda

In this paper, we propose a dictionary screening method for embedding compression in text classification tasks. The key purpose of this method is to evaluate the importance of each keyword in the dictionary. To this end, we first train a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Jing Zhou , Xinru Jing , Muyu Liu , Hansheng Wang

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas
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