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This paper investigates causal influences between agents linked by a social graph and interacting over time. In particular, the work examines the dynamics of social learning models and distributed decision-making protocols, and derives…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

Different measures have been proposed to predict whether individuals will adopt a new behavior in online social networks, given the influence produced by their neighbors. In this paper, we show one can achieve significant improvement over…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Ericsson Marin , Ruocheng Guo , Paulo Shakarian

Human social behaviour is governed by complex interactions shaped by uncertainty, causality, and group dynamics. We propose Causal Spherical Hypergraph Networks (Causal-SphHN), a principled framework for socially grounded prediction that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Anoushka Harit , Zhongtian Sun

Peer grading is an educational system in which students assess each other's work. It is commonly applied under Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) and offline classroom settings. With this system, instructors receive a reduced grading…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-01 Giuseppe Mignemi , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

In social science researches, causal inference regarding peer effects often faces significant challenges due to homophily bias and contextual confounding. For example, unmeasured health conditions (e.g., influenza) and psychological states…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Shanshan Luo , Kang Shuai , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li , Yangbo He

Social networks affect the diffusion of information, and thus have the potential to reduce or amplify inequality in access to opportunity. We show empirically that social networks often exhibit a much larger potential for unequal diffusion…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-21 Eaman Jahani , Dean Eckles , Alex 'Sandy' Pentland

Understanding the heterogeneous role of individuals in large-scale information spreading is essential to manage online behavior as well as its potential offline consequences. To this end, most existing studies from diverse research domains…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Fang Zhou , Linyuan Lü , Jianguo Liu , Manuel Sebastian Mariani

In this paper, the effect on collective opinions of filtering algorithms managed by social network platforms is modeled and investigated. A stochastic multi-agent model for opinion dynamics is proposed, that accounts for a centralized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-10 P. Bolzern , P. Colaneri , G. De Nicolao

In real world social networks, there are multiple cascades which are rarely independent. They usually compete or cooperate with each other. Motivated by the reinforcement theory in sociology we leverage the fact that adoption of a user to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Ali Zarezade , Ali Khodadadi , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Hamid R. Rabiee , Hongyuan Zha

We develop a criterion to certify whether causal effects are identifiable in linear structural equation models with latent variables. Linear structural equation models correspond to directed graphs whose nodes represent the random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton

Peer assessment systems are emerging in many social and multi-agent settings, such as peer grading in large (online) classes, peer review in conferences, peer art evaluation, etc. However, peer assessments might not be as accurate as expert…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Alireza A. Namanloo , Julie Thorpe , Amirali Salehi-Abari

Predicting cascade dynamics has important implications for understanding information propagation and launching viral marketing. Previous works mainly adopt a pair-wise manner, modeling the propagation probability between pairs of users…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Yongqing Wang , Hua-Wei Shen , Shenghua Liu , Xue-Qi Cheng

Complex contagions describe systems where the probability or rate of contagious transmission is a nonlinear function of the exposure to contagious agents. These models were first studied theoretically but have since been used to capture…

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

Recently, information transmission models motivated by the classical epidemic propagation, have been applied to a wide-range of social systems, generally assume that information mainly transmits among individuals via peer-to-peer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-09 Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Zi-Ke Zhang , Gui-Quan Sun , Pak Ming Hui

Logistic regression is key method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome based on a collection of covariates. However, the classical formulation of logistic regression relies on the independent sampling assumption, which is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Somabha Mukherjee , Ziang Niu , Sagnik Halder , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , George Michailidis

The understanding and prediction of information diffusion processes on networks is a major challenge in network theory with many implications in social sciences. Many theoretical advances occurred due to stochastic spreading models.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-11 Hongrun Wu , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez

Modern sociology has profoundly uncovered many convincing social criteria for behavioural analysis. Unfortunately, many of them are too subjective to be measured and presented in online social networks. On the other hand, data mining…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Xiangguo Sun , Hong Cheng , Bo Liu , Jia Li , Hongyang Chen , Guandong Xu , Hongzhi Yin

Human social behavior is organized in stratified, hierarchical networks, with a support group with about 5 members, expanding proportionally at each layer up to a maximum of approximately 150 frequent interactions per individual. This is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-20 Airton Deppman

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri
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