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Despite an increasing reliance on fully-automated algorithmic decision-making in our day-to-day lives, human beings still make highly consequential decisions. As frequently seen in business, healthcare, and public policy, recommendations…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Kosuke Imai , Zhichao Jiang , James Greiner , Ryan Halen , Sooahn Shin

Racial disparities in recidivism remain a persistent challenge within the criminal justice system, increasingly exacerbated by the adoption of algorithmic risk assessment tools. Past works have primarily focused on bias induced by these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jessy Xinyi Han , Kristjan Greenewald , Devavrat Shah

Predictive modeling of criminal recidivism, or whether people will re-offend in the future, has a long and contentious history. Modern causal inference methods allow us to move beyond prediction and target the "treatment effect" of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Vik Shirvaikar , Choudur Lakshminarayan

When might human input help (or not) when assessing risk in fairness domains? Dressel and Farid (2018) asked Mechanical Turk workers to evaluate a subset of defendants in the ProPublica COMPAS data for risk of recidivism, and concluded that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Sarah Tan , Julius Adebayo , Kori Inkpen , Ece Kamar

Recidivism prediction scores are used across the USA to determine sentencing and supervision for hundreds of thousands of inmates. One such generator of recidivism prediction scores is Northpointe's Correctional Offender Management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Christina Wadsworth , Francesca Vera , Chris Piech

Incarceration-diversion treatment programs aim to improve societal reintegration and reduce recidivism, but limited capacity forces policymakers to make prioritization decisions that often rely on risk assessment tools. While predictive,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Chuwen Zhang , Pengyi Shi , Amy Ward

The criminal justice system is currently ill-equipped to improve outcomes of individuals who cycle in and out of the system with a series of misdemeanor offenses. Often due to constraints of caseload and poor record linkage, prior…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Kit T. Rodolfa , Erika Salomon , Lauren Haynes , Ivan Higuera Mendieta , Jamie Larson , Rayid Ghani

Computer-aided decision making--where a human decision-maker is aided by a computational classifier in making a decision--is becoming increasingly prevalent. For instance, judges in at least nine states make use of algorithmic tools meant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-02 Andrew Morgan , Rafael Pass

In the United States and elsewhere, risk assessment algorithms are being used to help inform criminal justice decision-makers. A common intent is to forecast an offender's ``future dangerousness.'' Such algorithms have been correctly…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-10 Richard A. Berk , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

In criminal justice risk forecasting, one can prove that it is impossible to optimize accuracy and fairness at the same time. One can also prove that it is impossible optimize at once all of the usual group definitions of fairness. In the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-28 Richard A. Berk , Ayya A. Elzarka

Gender-based crime is one of the most concerning scourges of contemporary society. Governments worldwide have invested lots of economic and human resources to radically eliminate this threat. Despite these efforts, providing accurate…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Ángel González-Prieto , Antonio Brú , Juan Carlos Nuño , José Luis González-Álvarez

I discuss here three important roles where machine intelligence, brain and behaviour studies together may facilitate criminal law. First, predictive modelling using brain and behaviour data may support legal investigations by predicting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Oliver Y. Chén

Risk assessment algorithms have been correctly criticized for potential unfairness, and there is an active cottage industry trying to make repairs. In this paper, we adopt a framework from conformal prediction sets to remove unfairness from…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-24 Richard A. Berk , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Machine learning is a powerful tool for predicting human-related outcomes, from credit scores to heart attack risks. But when deployed, learned models also affect how users act in order to improve outcomes, whether predicted or real. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Nir Rosenfeld , Sophie Hilgard , Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , David C. Parkes

The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI), or more generally data-driven algorithms, has become ubiquitous in today's society. Yet, in many cases and especially when stakes are high, humans still make final decisions. The critical question,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Eli Ben-Michael , D. James Greiner , Melody Huang , Kosuke Imai , Zhichao Jiang , Sooahn Shin

Research into recidivism risk prediction in the criminal legal system has garnered significant attention from HCI, critical algorithm studies, and the emerging field of human-AI decision-making. This study focuses on algorithmic crime…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-03-20 MD Romael Haque , Devansh Saxena , Katy Weathington , Joseph Chudzik , Shion Guha

Algorithmic risk assessment instruments (RAIs) increasingly inform decision-making in criminal justice. RAIs largely rely on arrest records as a proxy for underlying crime. Problematically, the extent to which arrests reflect overall…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Miri Zilka , Riccardo Fogliato , Jiri Hron , Bradley Butcher , Carolyn Ashurst , Adrian Weller

We propose the use of Agent Based Models (ABMs) inside a reinforcement learning framework in order to better understand the relationship between automated decision making tools, fairness-inspired statistical constraints, and the social…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Debashis Ghosh

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to assist human decision-making. When the goal of machine assistance is to improve the accuracy of human decisions, it might seem appealing to design ML algorithms that complement human…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Nina Grgić-Hlača , Claude Castelluccia , Krishna P. Gummadi

While predictive policing has become increasingly common in assisting with decisions in the criminal justice system, the use of these results is still controversial. Some software based on deep learning lacks accuracy (e.g., in F-1), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Abdul Rafae Khan , Jia Xu , Peter Varsanyi , Rachit Pabreja