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Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

Reparameterization (RP) and likelihood ratio (LR) gradient estimators are used throughout machine and reinforcement learning; however, they are usually explained as simple mathematical tricks without providing any insight into their nature.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Paavo Parmas , Masashi Sugiyama

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

This research considers a scalable inference for spatial data modeled through Gaussian intrinsic conditional autoregressive (ICAR) structures. The classical estimation method, restricted maximum likelihood (REML), requires repeated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-10 Debjoy Thakur

A new robust and statistically efficient estimator for ARMA models called the bounded influence propagation (BIP) {\tau}-estimator is proposed. The estimator incorporates an auxiliary model, which prevents the propagation of outliers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-05 Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

We develop a maximum penalized quasi-likelihood estimator for estimating in a nonparametric way the diffusion function of a diffusion process, as an alternative to more traditional kernel-based estimators. After developing a numerical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-12 Jeff Hamrick , Yifei Huang , Constantinos Kardaras , Murad Taqqu

We propose a new and computationally efficient algorithm for maximizing the observed log-likelihood for a multivariate normal data matrix with missing values. We show that our procedure based on iteratively regressing the missing on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicolas Städler , Daniel J. Stekhoven , Peter Bühlmann

We consider Monte Carlo approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants. This paper deals with adaptive Monte Carlo algorithms, which adjust control parameters in the course of simulation. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

This paper investigates parametric direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation in a particular context: i) each sensor is characterized by an unknown complex gain and ii) the array consists of a collection of subarrays which are substantially…

We propose a method for learning linear models whose predictive performance is robust to causal interventions on unobserved variables, when noisy proxies of those variables are available. Our approach takes the form of a regularization term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Michael Oberst , Nikolaj Thams , Jonas Peters , David Sontag

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

Ultra high-throughput sequencing of transcriptomes (RNA-Seq) has enabled the accurate estimation of gene expression at individual isoform level. However, systematic biases introduced during the sequencing and mapping processes as well as…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Hui Jiang , Julia Salzman

The positive link prediction (PLP) problem is formulated in a system identification framework: we consider dynamic graphical models for auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian random processes. For the identification of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

The paper describes a new method for estimating the poles of an ARMA model using higher-order crossings. The method involves transforming counts of crossing events into estimates of ARMA poles via the autocorrelation domain. An important…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Timothy I. Salsbury , Ashish Singhal

We develop a family of accelerated stochastic algorithms that minimize sums of convex functions. Our algorithms improve upon the fastest running time for empirical risk minimization (ERM), and in particular linear least-squares regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-25 Roy Frostig , Rong Ge , Sham M. Kakade , Aaron Sidford

Regression by composition provides a flexible framework for constructing conditional distributions through sequential group actions. However, when multiple flows act on the same distribution, the model becomes non-identifiable, leading to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Safaa K. Kadhem

In this paper, we use convolutional neural networks to address the problem of model identification for autoregressive moving average time series models. We compare the performance of several neural network architectures, trained on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Wai Hoh Tang , Adrian Röllin

We introduce an innovative approach to enhancing the empirical risk minimization (ERM) process in model training through a refined reweighting scheme of the training data to enhance fairness. This scheme aims to uphold the sufficiency rule…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Xuan Zhao , Klaus Broelemann , Salvatore Ruggieri , Gjergji Kasneci

Current status data are commonly encountered in medical and epidemiological studies in which the failure time for study units is the outcome variable of interest. Data of this form are characterized by the fact that the failure time is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-25 Yan Liu , Minggen Lu , Christopher S. McMahan

The method of estimation in Scott and Wild (Biometrika 84 (1997) 57--71 and J. Statist. Plann. Inference 96 (2001) 3--27) uses a reparametrization of the profile likelihood that often reduces the computation times dramatically. Showing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-10 Yuichi Hirose , Alan Lee
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