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Related papers: Enhanced Simulation of the Indian Summer Monsoon R…

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Continuous data assimilation (CDA) is successfully implemented for the first time for efficient dynamical downscaling of a global atmospheric reanalysis. A comparison of the performance of CDA with the standard grid and spectral nudging…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-07-31 Srinivas Desamsetti , Hari Prasad Dasari , Sabique Langodan , Edriss S Titi , Omar Knio , Ibrahim Hoteit

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

Obtaining accurate high-resolution representations of model outputs is essential to describe the system dynamics. In general, however, only spatially- and temporally-coarse observations of the system states are available. These observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud , Olivier LeMaitre , Edriss S. Titi , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar Knio

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

We consider a recently introduced continuous data assimilation (CDA) approach for downscaling a coarse resolution configuration of the 2D Benard convection equations into a finer grid. In this CDA, a nudging term, estimated as the misfit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-22 M. U. Altaf , E. S. Titi , O. M. Knio , L. Zhao , M. F. McCabe , I. Hoteit

Skilful prediction of the seasonal Indian summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall (ISMR) at least one season in advance has great socio-economic value. It represents a lifeline for about a sixth of the world's population. The ISMR prediction remained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-13 Ushnanshu Dutta , Anupam Hazra , Subodh Kumar Saha , Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari , Samir Pokhrel , Mahen Konwar

Advancements in remote sensing have led to development of several satellite-derived precipitation products; however, their accuracy must be evaluated before use in scientific and operational studies. This study comprehensively assesses six…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-26 Ajay Bankar , Praveenkumar Venkatesan , Rakesh V , Gaurav Chopra , R I Sujith

The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and associated monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (MISOs) influence the billions of people living in the Indian subcontinent. This study explores the role of autoconversion parameterization in microphysical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-08 Ushnanshu Dutta , Moumita Bhowmik , Anupam Hazra , Suryachandra. A. Rao , Jen-Ping Chen

Sparse sensor networks in weather and ocean modeling observe only a small fraction of the system state, which destabilizes standard nudging-based data assimilation. We introduce Interpolated Discrepancy Data Assimilation (IDDA), which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Tong Wu , Humberto Godinez , Vitaliy Gyrya , James M. Hyman

Soil moisture conditions can influence the evolution of a tropical cyclone (TC) that is partially or completely over land. Hence, better constraining soil moisture initial conditions in a numerical weather prediction model can potentially…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-01 Jana Kolassa , Manisha Ganeshan , Erica McGrath-Spangler , Oreste Reale , Rolf Reichle , Sara Q. Zhang

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) techniques, most notably the nudging approach proposed by Azouani, Olson, and Titi (AOT), have been shown to be very successful in deterministic frameworks for achieving long-time synchronization between…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Kush Kinra

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) has a decisive influence on India's agricultural output and economy. Extreme deviations from the normal seasonal amount of rainfall can cause severe droughts or floods, affecting Indian food…

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) nudges observational data into governing equations to recover the underlying flow and improve predictions. Existing rigorous CDA analyses focus primarily on incompressible flows, yet no physical flow is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang

An unresolved problem of present generation coupled climate models is the realistic distribution of rainfall over Indian monsoon region, which is also related to the persistent dry bias over Indian land mass. Therefore, quantitative…

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) has advanced significantly in recent decades but still faces challenges in accuracy, computational efficiency, and scalability. Data-driven weather models have shown great promise, sometimes surpassing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Animesh Choudhury , Jagabandhu Panda

Simulation of rainfall over a region for long time-sequences can be very useful for planning and policy-making, especially in India where the economy is heavily reliant on monsoon rainfall. However, such simulations should be able to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-04 Adway Mitra

The seasonal prediction of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations (MISO), as well as the Madden Julian Oscillations (MJO) that strongly modulate MISO, is important to the country for water and crop…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-15 Ushnanshu Dutta , Moumita Bhowmik , Anupam Hazra , Chein-Jung Shiu , Jen-Ping Chen

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-15 Felix Strnad , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Niklas Boers , Bedartha Goswami

A hybrid approach to numerical weather prediction is investigated, in which the unperturbed physics-based ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) is spectrally nudged toward forecasts from a machine-learned weather forecast model, trained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-27 I. Polichtchouk , M. C. A. Clare , M. Chantry , E. Gascón , M. Maier-Gerber , B. Vanniere , S. Lang
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