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We propose a microstructural model for the order flow in financial markets that distinguishes between {\it core orders} and {\it reaction flow}, both modeled as Hawkes processes. This model has a natural scaling limit that reconciles a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

This thesis investigates Merton's portfolio problem under two different rough Heston models, which have a non-Markovian structure. The motivation behind this choice of problem is due to the recent discovery and success of rough volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-09 Benjamin James Duthie

We explore credit risk pricing by modeling equity as a call option and debt as the difference between the firm's asset value and a put option, following the structural framework of the Merton model. Our approach proceeds in two stages:…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Jagdish Gnawali , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev

In stochastic Volterra rough volatility models, the volatility follows a truncated Brownian semi-stationary process with stochastic vol-of-vol. Recently, efficient VIX pricing Monte Carlo methods have been proposed for the case where the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Henrique Guerreiro , João Guerra

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rama Cont , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Volatility clustering, long-range dependence, and non-Gaussian scaling are stylized facts of financial assets dynamics. They are ignored in the Black & Scholes framework, but have a relevant impact on the pricing of options written on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-12 Fulvio Baldovin , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio Stella , Marco Zamparo

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the problem of option pricing when the short rate follows subdiffusive fractional Merton model. We incorporate the stochastic nature of the short rate in our option valuation model and derive explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-03 Foad Shokrollahi

Implied volatility IV is a key metric in financial markets, reflecting market expectations of future price fluctuations. Research has explored IV's relationship with moneyness, focusing on its connection to the implied Hurst exponent H. Our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Daniele Angelini , Fabrizio Di Sciorio

Starting from a basic model in which the dynamic of the transaction prices is a geometric Brownian motion disrupted by a microstructure white noise, corresponding to the random alternation of bids and asks, we propose moment-based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-07 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin , Hugo Roccaro

Continuous time financial market models are often motivated as scaling limits of discrete time models. The objective of this paper is to establish such a connection for a robust framework. More specifically, we consider discrete time models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 David Criens

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

The scaling properties encompass in a simple analysis many of the volatility characteristics of financial markets. That is why we use them to probe the different degree of markets development. We empirically study the scaling properties of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , M. M. Dacorogna

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form. The most popular parametrizations are based on or inspired by an underlying stochastic model, like the Heston model (SVI method) or the SABR model (SABR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Nicola F. Zaugg , Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

The covariance between the return of an asset and its realized volatility can be approximated as the difference between two specific implied volatilities. In this paper it is proved that in the small time-to-maturity limit the approximation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Elisa Alos , Frido Rolloos , Kenichiro Shiraya

We study the weak convergence rate in the discretization of rough volatility models. After showing a lower bound $2H$ under a general model, where $H$ is the Hurst index of the volatility process, we give a sharper bound $H + 1/2$ under a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Christian Bayer , Masaaki Fukasawa , Shonosuke Nakahara

In this paper we apply Markovian approximation of the fractional Brownian motion (BM), known as the Dobric-Ojeda (DO) process, to the fractional stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous variance is modelled by a lognormal process…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-22 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

The Fractional Stochastic Regularity Model (FSRM) is an extension of Black-Scholes model describing the multifractal nature of prices. It is based on a multifractional process with a random Hurst exponent $H_t$, driven by a fractional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Daniele Angelini , Matthieu Garcin

The literature on volatility modelling and option pricing is a large and diverse area due to its importance and applications. This paper provides a review of the most significant volatility models and option pricing methods, beginning with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-09 Sovan Mitra