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In this letter, we present a novel Gaussian Process Learning-based Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow (GP-POPF) for solving POPF under renewable and load uncertainties of arbitrary distribution. The proposed method relies on a non-parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-17 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen

This paper considers distribution systems with a high penetration of distributed, renewable generation and addresses the problem of incorporating the associated uncertainty into the optimal operation of these networks. Joint chance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Kyri Baker , Andrey Bernstein

We propose a data-driven method to solve a stochastic optimal power flow (OPF) problem based on limited information about forecast error distributions. The objective is to determine power schedules for controllable devices in a power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-22 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler Summers

To manage renewable generation and load consumption uncertainty, chance-constrained optimal power flow (OPF) formulations and various solution methodologies have been proposed. However, conventional solution approaches often rely on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Bowen Li , Ruiwei Jiang , Johanna L. Mathieu

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The growing amount of fluctuating renewable infeeds and market liberalization increases uncertainty in power system operation. To capture the influence of fluctuations in operational planning, we model the forecast errors of the uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-26 Line Roald , Frauke Oldewurtel , Bart Van Parys , Göran Andersson

In this paper, we consider a chance-constrained formulation of the optimal power flow problem to handle uncertainties resulting from renewable generation and load variability. We propose a tuning method that iterates between solving an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Ashley M. Hou , Line A. Roald

High penetration of renewable generation poses great challenge to power system operation due to its uncertain nature. In droop-controlled microgrids, the voltage volatility induced by renewable uncertainties is aggravated by the high droop…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-02 Tianlun Chen , David J. Hill , Yue Song , Albert Y. S. Lam

Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Xinbo Geng , Le Xie

We consider exact deterministic mixed-integer programming (MIP) reformulations of distributionally robust chance-constrained programs (DR-CCP) with random right-hand sides over Wasserstein ambiguity sets. The existing MIP formulations are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Fatma Kılınç-Karzan , Simge Küçükyavuz , Dabeen Lee

This is the second part of a two-part paper on data-based distributionally robust stochastic optimal power flow (OPF). The general problem formulation and methodology have been presented in Part I [1]. Here, we present extensive numerical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler H. Summers

We propose conformal predictive programming (CPP), a framework to solve chance constrained optimization problems, i.e., optimization problems with constraints that are functions of random variables. CPP utilizes samples from these random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-06 Yiqi Zhao , Xinyi Yu , Matteo Sesia , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Lars Lindemann

Optimization problems involving complex variables, when solved, are typically transformed into real variables, often at the expense of convergence rate and interpretability. This paper introduces a novel formalism for a prominent problem in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Raneem Madani , Abdel Lisser

Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Xinbo Geng , Le Xie

This paper is motivated by addressing open questions in distributionally robust chance-constrained programs (DRCCP) using the popular Wasserstein ambiguity sets. Specifically, the computational techniques for those programs typically place…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Yassine Nemmour , Heiner Kremer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

The increase in renewable energy sources (RESs), like wind or solar power, results in growing uncertainty also in transmission grids. This affects grid stability through fluctuating energy supply and an increased probability of overloaded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Rebecca Bauer , Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Nicole Ludwig , Veit Hagenmeyer

This paper studies the problem of developing computationally efficient solutions for steering the distribution of the state of a stochastic, linear dynamical system between two boundary Gaussian distributions in the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We propose a data-based method to solve a multi-stage stochastic optimal power flow (OPF) problem based on limited information about forecast error distributions. The framework explicitly combines multi-stage feedback policies with any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler H. Summers

In this work, we propose a non-parametric probabilistic load flow (NP-PLF) technique based on the Gaussian Process (GP) learning to understand the power system behavior under uncertainty for better operational decisions. The technique can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-19 Parikshit Pareek , Chuan Wang , Hung D. Nguyen