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Methods to quantify uncertainty in predictions from arbitrary models are in demand in high-stakes domains like medicine and finance. Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular method for producing a set of predictions with specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jessica Hullman , Yifan Wu , Dawei Xie , Ziyang Guo , Andrew Gelman

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

For encompassing the limitations of probabilistic coherence spaces which do not seem to provide natural interpretations of continuous data types such as the real line, Ehrhard and al. introduced a model of probabilistic higher order…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Thomas Ehrhard

We describe topology of random simplicial complexes in the lower and upper models in the medial regime, i.e. under the assumption that the probability parameters $p_\sigma$ approach neither $0$ nor $1$. We show that nontrivial Betti numbers…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Michael Farber , Lewis Mead

In many real-world scenarios, it is crucial to be able to reliably and efficiently reason under uncertainty while capturing complex relationships in data. Probabilistic circuits (PCs), a prominent family of tractable probabilistic models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Zhongjie Yu , Martin Trapp , Kristian Kersting

We develop tools for characterizing vertices of fiber products of polytopes and apply them to simplicial distribution polytopes, a class of probability polytopes arising in quantum foundations and quantum information. In the theory of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Aziz Kharoof , Cihan Okay

Some abstract argumentation approaches consider that arguments have a degree of uncertainty, which impacts on the degree of uncertainty of the extensions obtained from a abstract argumentation framework (AAF) under a semantics. In these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Mariela Morveli-Espinoza , Juan Carlos Nieves , Cesar Augusto Tacla

A new class of full fans in an euclidean space - tight fans - is introduced. Such fans are defined using a property of local symmetry in a face of a tiling. Tight fans are related to the theory of parallelotopes in an euclidean space. A…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Andrei Gavrilyuk

Regularized kernel methods such as, e.g., support vector machines and least-squares support vector regression constitute an important class of standard learning algorithms in machine learning. Theoretical investigations concerning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-21 Robert Hable

In this paper, we introduce the notion of an admissible partition of a simplicial polyhedral fan and define the category of a partitioned fan as a generalisation of the $\tau$-cluster morphism category of a finite-dimensional algebra. This…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Maximilian Kaipel

In this paper, we study the curvature properties of random complex plane curves. We bound from below the probability that a uniform proportion of the area of a random complex degree $d$ plane curve has a curvature smaller than $-d/8$. Our…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Michele Ancona , Damien Gayet

The Gumbel-Softmax probability distribution allows learning discrete tokens in generative learning, while the Gumbel-Argmax probability distribution is useful in learning discrete structures in discriminative learning. Despite the efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Hedda Cohen Indelman , Tamir Hazan

We give a full classification of continuous flexible discrete axial cone-nets, which are called axial C-hedra. The obtained result can also be used to construct their semi-discrete analogs. Moreover, we identify a novel subclass within the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Georg Nawratil

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

For any lattice congruence of the weak order on permutations, N. Reading proved that gluing together the cones of the braid fan that belong to the same congruence class defines a complete fan, called a quotient fan, and V. Pilaud and F.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Arnau Padrol , Vincent Pilaud , Julian Ritter

For a smooth, projective family of homogeneous varieties defined over a number field, we show that if potential density holds for the rational points of the base, then it also holds for the total space. A conjecture of Campana and…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2011-02-22 J. -L. Colliot-Thélène , J. N. Iyer

In this study, after given the definition of soft sets and their basic operations we define convex soft sets which is an important concept for operation research, optimization and related problems. Then, we define concave soft sets and give…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-07-19 Irfan Deli

In the field of categorical probability, one uses concepts and techniques from category theory, such as monads and monoidal categories, to study the structures of probability and statistics. In this paper, we connect some ideas from…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Mika Bohinen , Paolo Perrone

We propose a novel polyhedral uncertainty set for robust optimization, termed the smooth uncertainty set, which captures dependencies of uncertain parameters by constraining their pairwise differences. The bounds on these differences may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Noam Goldberg , Michael Poss , Shimrit Shtern

The chord length probability density of the regular octahedron is explicitly evaluated throughout its full range of distances by separating it into three contributions respectively due to the pairs of facets opposite to each other or…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-02-11 Salvino Ciccariello
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