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Deep forecasting models often suffer from attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations as network depth increases. Moreover, the widely adopted channel-independent paradigm, while improving training stability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hua Wang , Xianhao Jiao , Fan Zhang

Graph neural networks (GNNs) often struggle to learn discriminative node representations for heterophilic graphs, where connected nodes tend to have dissimilar labels and feature similarity provides weak structural cues. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Ayushman Raghuvanshi , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Shivam Gupta , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Venkataramana Runkana

Recently, numerous deep models have been proposed to enhance the performance of multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Among them, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs)-based methods have shown great potential due to their capability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Jingqi Xu , Guibin Chen , Jingxi Lu , Yuzhang Lin

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) are widely used in high-dimensional data analysis to synthesize the interaction between variables. In many applications, such as genomics or image analysis, graphical models rely on sparsity and clustering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Do Edmond Sanou , Christophe Ambroise , Geneviève Robin

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

Accurate and reliable prediction has profound implications to a wide range of applications. In this study, we focus on an instance of spatio-temporal learning problem--traffic prediction--to demonstrate an advanced deep learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Pingping Dong , Xiao-Lin Wang , Indranil Bose , Kam K. H. Ng , Xiaoning Zhang , Xiaoge Zhang

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of deep-learning-based, graph-neural-network-based forecasting methods for modern intelligent transportation systems. However, most existing work focuses exclusively on capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Lixiang Fan , Bohao Li , Tao Zou , Junchen Ye , Bowen Du

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Travel time estimation is one of the core tasks for the development of intelligent transportation systems. Most previous works model the road segments or intersections separately by learning their spatio-temporal characteristics to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Huan Yan , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang , Yong Li

In this paper, we develop a novel Backtrackless Aligned-Spatial Graph Convolutional Network (BASGCN) model to learn effective features for graph classification. Our idea is to transform arbitrary-sized graphs into fixed-sized backtrackless…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Lu Bail , Lixin Cui , Yuhang Jiao , Luca Rossi , Edwin R. Hancock

Recent studies have shifted their focus towards formulating traffic forecasting as a spatio-temporal graph modeling problem. Typically, they constructed a static spatial graph at each time step and then connected each node with itself…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Chuanpan Zheng , Xiaoliang Fan , Shirui Pan , Haibing Jin , Zhaopeng Peng , Zonghan Wu , Cheng Wang , Philip S. Yu

Accurate traffic prediction is a key task for intelligent transportation systems. The core difficulty lies in accurately modeling the complex spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data. In recent years, improvements in network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Sen Shi , Zhichao Zhang , Yangfan He

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various fields such as finance, traffic management, energy, and healthcare. Recent studies have highlighted the advantages of channel independence to resist distribution drift but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Lu Han , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

Temporal graph learning is crucial for dynamic networks where nodes and edges evolve over time and new nodes continuously join the system. Inductive representation learning in such settings faces two major challenges: effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Jiafeng Xiong , Rizos Sakellariou

Decentralized Federated Learning (DFL) has emerged as a robust distributed paradigm that circumvents the single-point-of-failure and communication bottleneck risks of centralized architectures. However, a significant challenge arises as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Lianshuai Guo , Zhongzheng Yuan , Xunkai Li , Yinlin Zhu , Meixia Qu , Wenyu Wang

Traffic forecasting is essential for the traffic construction of smart cities in the new era. However, traffic data's complex spatial and temporal dependencies make traffic forecasting extremely challenging. Most existing traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Wei Zhao , Shiqi Zhang , Bing Zhou , Bei Wang

A dynamic graph (DG) is frequently encountered in numerous real-world scenarios. Consequently, A dynamic graph convolutional network (DGCN) has been successfully applied to perform precise representation learning on a DG. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Minglian Han

Recent studies have shown that by introducing prior knowledge, multi-scale analysis of complex and non-stationary time series in real environments can achieve good results in the field of long-term forecasting. However, affected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Bin Wang , Heming Yang , Jinfang Sheng

We review theory and methodology of the class of simultaneous graphical dynamic linear models (SGDLMs) that provide flexibility, parsimony and scalability of multivariate time series analysis. Discussion includes core theoretical aspects…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Mike West , Luke Vrotsos