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We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of Bayesian inference algorithms that targets for problems with intractable or {unavailable} likelihood function. It uses synthetic data drawn from the simulation model to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-24 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Learning latent variable models with stochastic variational inference is challenging when the approximate posterior is far from the true posterior, due to high variance in the gradient estimates. We propose a novel rejection sampling step…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-06 Aditya Grover , Ramki Gummadi , Miguel Lazaro-Gredilla , Dale Schuurmans , Stefano Ermon

We present the fundamentals of a measure transport approach to sampling. The idea is to construct a deterministic coupling---i.e., a transport map---between a complex "target" probability measure of interest and a simpler reference measure.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-27 Youssef Marzouk , Tarek Moselhy , Matthew Parno , Alessio Spantini

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are increasingly used for inference in situations in which the likelihood function is either computationally costly or intractable to evaluate. Extensions of the basic ABC rejection algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-01 Umberto Simola , Jessica Cisewski-Kehe , Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

The Gibbs ensemble of the truncated KdV (TKdV) equation has been shown to accurately describe the anomalous wave statistics observed in laboratory experiments, in particular the emergence of extreme events. Here, we introduce a novel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Nicholas J. Moore , Brendan Foerster

We describe a new family of coupling designs, extending the basic principle of stratified randomization to experiments with continuous, constrained multivariate, text/image and other irregular treatment spaces. Our approach is to first…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Max Cytrynbaum , Fredrik Sävje

Autocorrelations in MCMC chains increase the variance of the estimators they produce. We propose the occlusion process to mitigate this problem. It is a process that sits upon an existing MCMC sampler, and occasionally replaces its samples…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-20 Max Hird , Florian Maire

We describe a very simple method for `consistent sampling' that allows for sampling with replacement. The method extends previous approaches to consistent sampling, which assign a pseudorandom real number to each element, and sample those…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Ronald L. Rivest

Probability measures supported on submanifolds can be sampled by adding an extra momentum variable to the state of the system, and discretizing the associated Hamiltonian dynamics with some stochastic perturbation in the extra variable. In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Tony Lelièvre , Mathias Rousset , Gabriel Stoltz

Matrix multiplication is a fundamental building block for large scale computations arising in various applications, including machine learning. There has been significant recent interest in using coding to speed up distributed matrix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Wei-Ting Chang , Ravi Tandon

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

We introduce a very general method for sparse and large-scale variable selection. The large-scale regression settings is such that both the number of parameters and the number of samples are extremely large. The proposed method is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Jelena Bradic

Selective prediction, where a model has the option to abstain from making a decision, is crucial for machine learning applications in which mistakes are costly. In this work, we focus on distributional regression and introduce a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ahmed Zaoui , Clément Dombry

Mixture models are a standard tool in statistical analyses, widely used for density modeling and model-based clustering. In this work, we propose a Bayesian mixture model with repulsion between mixture components. Such repulsion helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Hanxi Sun , Boqian Zhang , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

In this paper, we consider several efficient data structures for the problem of sampling from a dynamically changing discrete probability distribution, where some prior information is known on the distribution of the rates, in particular…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Federico D'Ambrosio , Hans L. Bodlaender , Gerard T. Barkema

Sampling is a fundamental problem in computer science and statistics. However, for a given task and stream, it is often not possible to choose good sampling probabilities in advance. We derive a general framework for adaptively changing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Daniel Ting

We study channel simulation and distributed matching, two fundamental problems with several applications to machine learning, using a recently introduced generalization of the standard rejection sampling (RS) algorithm known as Ensemble…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Buu Phan , Ashish Khisti

Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon