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Decision trees and their ensembles are popular in machine learning as easy-to-understand models. Several techniques have been proposed in the literature for learning tree-based classifiers, with different techniques working well for data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Maria-Florina Balcan , Dravyansh Sharma

Modern language models address complex questions through chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning (Wei et al., 2023) and retrieval augmentation (Lewis et al., 2021), yet struggle with error propagation and knowledge integration. Tree-structured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Ahmed Bahloul , Simon Malberg

Poly-trees are singly connected causal networks in which variables may arise from multiple causes. This paper develops a method of recovering ply-trees from empirically measured probability distributions of pairs of variables. The method…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 George Rebane , Judea Pearl

Since their inception in the 1980's, regression trees have been one of the more widely used non-parametric prediction methods. Tree-structured methods yield a histogram reconstruction of the regression surface, where the bins correspond to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Veronika Rockova , Stephanie van der Pas

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGM) are very useful in the fields of machine learning and data mining. The crucial limitation of those models,however, is the scalability. The Bayesian Network, which is one of the most common PGMs used in…

The problem of categorical data analysis in high dimensions is considered. A discussion of the fundamental difficulties of probability modeling is provided, and a solution to the derivation of high dimensional probability distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Cetin Savkli , J. Ryan Carr , Philip Graff , Lauren Kennell

Tree ensembles, such as random forests and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance. However, their interpretability is critically limited due to the enormous complexity. In this study, we present a method to make a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-01 Satoshi Hara , Kohei Hayashi

This paper presents a new probabilistic generative model for image segmentation, i.e. the task of partitioning an image into homogeneous regions. Our model is grounded on a mid-level image representation, called a region tree, in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Shell X. Hu , Christopher K. I. Williams , Sinisa Todorovic

In the big data era, scalability has become a crucial requirement for any useful computational model. Probabilistic graphical models are very useful for mining and discovering data insights, but they are not scalable enough to be suitable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-21 Khalifeh AlJadda , Mohammed Korayem , Camilo Ortiz , Trey Grainger , John A. Miller , William S. York

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

We consider the inference of the structure of an undirected graphical model in an exact Bayesian framework. More specifically we aim at achieving the inference with close-form posteriors, avoiding any sampling step. This task would be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-02 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin , Michael Stumpf

Predicting the ancestral sequences of a group of homologous sequences related by a phylogenetic tree has been the subject of many studies, and numerous methods have been proposed to this purpose. Theoretical results are available that show…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-05 Olivier Gascuel , Mike Steel

We consider a Gibbs distribution over all spanning trees of an undirected, edge weighted finite graph, where, up to normalization, the probability of each tree is given by the product of its edge weights. Defining the weighted degree of a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Enrique Fita Sanmartín , Christoph Schnörr , Fred A. Hamprecht

Algorithms for binary classification based on adaptive tree partitioning are formulated and analyzed for both their risk performance and their friendliness to numerical implementation. The algorithms can be viewed as generating a set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Peter Binev , Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ronald DeVore

A general formulation is presented for continuum scaling limits of stochastic spanning trees. A spanning tree is expressed in this limit through a consistent collection of subtrees, which includes a tree for every finite set of endpoints in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Michael Aizenman , Almut Burchard , Charles M. Newman , David B. Wilson

We investigate properties of node centrality in random growing tree models. We focus on a measure of centrality that computes the maximum subtree size of the tree rooted at each node, with the most central node being the tree centroid. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-09 Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

Decision trees are important both as interpretable models amenable to high-stakes decision-making, and as building blocks of ensemble methods such as random forests and gradient boosting. Their statistical properties, however, are not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Yan Shuo Tan , Abhineet Agarwal , Bin Yu

We introduce Joint Probability Trees (JPT), a novel approach that makes learning of and reasoning about joint probability distributions tractable for practical applications. JPTs support both symbolic and subsymbolic variables in a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Daniel Nyga , Mareike Picklum , Tom Schierenbeck , Michael Beetz

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy
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