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Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

We investigate a model for a mosquito-borne epidemic in which human hosts may adopt protective behaviour against vector bites in response to information on both past and current disease prevalence. Assuming that mosquitoes can also feed on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Simone De Reggi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Cinzia Soresina

Treatment effect estimation is of high-importance for both researchers and practitioners across many scientific and industrial domains. The abundance of observational data makes them increasingly used by researchers for the estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-22 Niki Kiriakidou , Christos Diou

We consider the problem of estimating the topology of spatial interactions in a discrete state, discrete time spatio-temporal graphical model where the interactions affect the temporal evolution of each agent in a network. Among other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-04-15 Patrick L. Harrington , Alfred O. Hero

The widespread availability of electronic health records (EHRs) promises to usher in the era of personalized medicine. However, the problem of extracting useful clinical representations from longitudinal EHR data remains challenging. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Zhengping Che , Yu Cheng , Zhaonan Sun , Yan Liu

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have major impact to health and medical infrastructure, economy, and agriculture. Prominent computational and mathematical models have been unreliable due to the complexity of the spread of infections.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Rohitash Chandra , Ayush Jain , Divyanshu Singh Chauhan

Early, reliable detection of disease outbreaks is a critical problem today. This paper reports an investigation of the use of causal Bayesian networks to model spatio-temporal patterns of a non-contagious disease (respiratory anthrax…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-19 Gregory F. Cooper , Denver Dash , John Levander , Weng-Keen Wong , William Hogan , Michael Wagner

As the climate changes, the severity of wildland fires is expected to worsen. Models that accurately capture fire propagation dynamics greatly help efforts for understanding, responding to and mitigating the damages caused by these fires.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-12 John Burge , Matthew Bonanni , Matthias Ihme , Lily Hu

The problem of time-series forecasting in non-stationary and complex environments is a challenging task in machine learning, especially with heterogeneous numerical and textual data present. Traditional statistical models like…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-05 Alexis Lazanas , Spyridon Karpouzis

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

Continual learning, the ability of a model to learn over time without forgetting previous knowledge and, therefore, be adaptive to new data, is paramount in dynamic fields such as disease outbreak prediction. Deep neural networks, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Saba Aslam , Abdur Rasool , Hongyan Wu , Xiaoli Li

Infectious disease remains, despite centuries of work to control and mitigate its effects, a major problem facing humanity. This paper reviews the mathematical modelling of infectious disease epidemics on networks, starting from the…

Popular Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas House

In this work, we integrate the predictive capabilities of compartmental disease dynamics models with machine learning ability to analyze complex, high-dimensional data and uncover patterns that conventional models may overlook.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Muhammad Awais , Abu Safyan Ali , Giacomo Dimarco , Federica Ferrarese , Lorenzo Pareschi

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

In wireless sensor networks (WSNs), main task of each sensor node is to sense the physical activity (i.e., targets or disaster conditions) and then to report it to the control center for further process. For this, sensor nodes are attached…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Rajeev K. Shakya

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Parameter inference and state estimation in stochastic and partially observed biological systems remain major problems in mathematical biology. In this work, we introduce a two-dimensional lattice graph model for the spread of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-29 Ihtisham Ul Haq , Serge Richard

There is an urgent need to build models to tackle Indoor Air Quality issue. Since the model should be accurate and fast, Reduced Order Modelling technique is used to reduce the dimensionality of the problem. The accuracy of the model, that…