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The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a fundamental tool for sequence modeling that cleanly separates the hidden state from the emission structure. However, this separation makes it difficult to fit HMMs to large datasets in modern NLP, and they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Justin T. Chiu , Alexander M. Rush

The longitudinal process that leads to university student drop out in STEM subjects can be described by referring to a) inter-individual differences (e.g., cognitive abilities) as well as b) intra-individual changes (e.g., affective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Augustin Kelava , Pascal Kilian , Judith Glaesser , Samuel Merk , Holger Brandt

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular models to identify a finite number of latent states from sequential data. However, fitting them to large data sets can be computationally demanding because most likelihood maximization techniques…

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

The identification of factors associated with mental and behavioral disorders in early childhood is critical both for psychopathology research and the support of primary health care practices. Motivated by the Millennium Cohort Study, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella , Nikos Tzavidis

Eye Movement analysis with Hidden Markov Models (EMHMM) is a method for modeling eye fixation sequences using hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this report, we run a simulation study to investigate the estimation error for learning HMMs with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Antoni B. Chan , Janet H. Hsiao

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

This work studies networked agents cooperating to track a dynamical state of nature under partial information. The proposed algorithm is a distributed Bayesian filtering algorithm for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs). It can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models for sequential data analysis. One of the key reasons for this versatility is the ability of HMM to deal with missing data. However, standard HMM learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Binyamin Perets , Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

Bayesian nonparametric methods have recently transformed emerging areas within data science. One such promising method, the infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM), generalizes the HMM which itself has become a workhorse in single molecule data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-28 Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Presse

Modern vehicles are equipped with increasingly complex sensors. These sensors generate large volumes of data that provide opportunities for modeling and analysis. Here, we are interested in exploiting this data to learn aspects of behaviors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-30 Vadim Smolyakov , Julian Straub , Sue Zheng , John W. Fisher

We introduce a Bayesian approach for analyzing high-dimensional multinomial data that are referenced over space and time. In particular, the proportions associated with multinomial data are assumed to have a logit link to a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

With the growing amount of cyber threats, the need for development of high-assurance cyber systems is becoming increasingly important. The objective of this paper is to address the challenges of modeling and detecting sophisticated network…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Tawfeeq Shawly , Ali Elghariani , Jason Kobes , Arif Ghafoor

Player modeling is an important concept that has gained much attention in game research due to its utility in developing adaptive techniques to target better designs for engagement and retention. Previous work has explored modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Sara Bunian , Alessandro Canossa , Randy Colvin , Magy Seif El-Nasr

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

Characterization of multivariate time series of behaviour data from animal-borne sensors is challenging. Biologists require methods to objectively quantify baseline behaviour, then assess behaviour changes in response to environmental…

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Understanding the reasons for the success of deep neural networks trained using stochastic gradient-based methods is a key open problem for the nascent theory of deep learning. The types of data where these networks are most successful,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-04 Sebastian Goldt , Marc Mézard , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas