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Related papers: Smoothed Model-Assisted Small Area Estimation

200 papers

Model averaging, as an appealing ensemble technique, strategically integrates all valuable information from candidate models to construct fast and accurate prediction. Despite of having been widely practiced in many fields such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Zhuang Yong , Lv Jing , Tingting Li

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

Small area models are mixed effects regression models that link the small areas and borrow strength from similar domains. When the auxiliary variables used in the models are measured with error, small area estimators that ignore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Serena Arima , Silvia Polettini

Observational data are often accompanied by natural structural indices, such as time stamps or geographic locations, which are meaningful to prediction tasks but are often discarded. We leverage semantically meaningful indexing data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Esther Rolf , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

Fine resolution estimates of demographic and socioeconomic attributes are crucial for planning and policy development. While several efforts have been made to produce fine-scale gridded population estimates, socioeconomic features are…

Survey sampling plays an important role in the efficient allocation and management of resources. The essence of survey sampling lies in acquiring a sample of data points from a population and subsequently using this sample to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jonne Pohjankukka , Sakari Tuominen , Jukka Heikkonen

A model-assisted semiparametric method of estimating finite population totals is investigated to improve the precision of survey estimators by incorporating multivariate auxiliary information. The proposed superpopulation model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Lily Wang

The paper delineates a proper statistical setting for defining the sampling design for a small area estimation problem. This problem is often treated only via indirect estimation using the values of the variable of interest also from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Piero Demetrio Falorsi , Stefano Falorsi , Vincenzo Nardelli , Paolo Righi

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Many people living in low- and middle-income countries are not covered by civil registration and vital statistics systems. Consequently, a wide variety of other types of data, including many household sample surveys, are used to estimate…

Small area estimation using survey data can be achieved by using either a design-based or a model-based inferential approach. Design-based direct estimators are generally preferable because of their consistency, asymptotic normality, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Alana McGovern , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Estimating characteristics of domains (referred to as small areas) within a population from sample surveys of the population is an important problem in survey statistics. In this paper, we consider model-based small area estimation under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Disease mapping attempts to explain observed health event counts across areal units, typically using Markov random field models. These models rely on spatial priors to account for variation in raw relative risk or rate estimates. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Garazi Retegui , Alan E. Gelfand , Jaione Etxeberria , María Dolores Ugarte

We consider stochastic optimization problems which use observed data to estimate essential characteristics of the random quantities involved. Sample average approximation (SAA) or empirical (plug-in) estimation are very popular ways to use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin

Area-level models for small area estimation typically rely on areal random effects to shrink design-based direct estimates towards a model-based predictor. Incorporating the spatial dependence of the random effects into these models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We consider a regression modeling of the quantiles of residual life, remaining lifetime at a specific time. We propose a smoothed induced version of the existing non-smooth estimating equations approaches for estimating regression…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-03 Kyu Hyun Kim , Daniel J. Caplan , Sangwook Kang

Small area estimation (SAE) entails estimating characteristics of interest for domains, often geographical areas, in which there may be few or no samples available. SAE has a long history and a wide variety of methods have been suggested,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-19 Jon Wakefield , Taylor Okonek , Jon Pedersen

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang