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We present a general framework for applying learning algorithms and heuristical guidance to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of our techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive…

The problem of state tracking with active observation control is considered for a system modeled by a discrete-time, finite-state Markov chain observed through conditionally Gaussian measurement vectors. The measurement model statistics are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Daphney-Stavroula Zois , Marco Levorato , Urbashi Mitra

Whereas classical Markov decision processes maximize the expected reward, we consider minimizing the risk. We propose to evaluate the risk associated to a given policy over a long-enough time horizon with the help of a central limit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Pengqian Yu , Jia Yuan Yu , Huan Xu

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

This study develops a framework for a class of constant modulus (CM) optimization problems, which covers binary constraints, discrete phase constraints, semi-orthogonal matrix constraints, non-negative semi-orthogonal matrix constraints,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Junbin Liu , Ya Liu , Wing-Kin Ma , Mingjie Shao , Anthony Man-Cho So

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

We use the geometry of suitably generalised potentials to solve risk-sensitive Markovian optimal stopping problems. As in the linear case due to Dynkin and Yushkievich (1967), the value function is the pointwise infimum of those functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Tomasz Kosmala , John Moriarty

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We tackle the problem of estimating risk measures of the infinite-horizon discounted cost within a Markov cost process. The risk measures we study include variance, Value-at-Risk (VaR), and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). First, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Gugan Thoppe , L. A. Prashanth , Sanjay Bhat

This paper considers two important problems -- on the supply-side and demand-side respectively and studies both in a unified framework. On the supply side, we study the problem of energy sharing among microgrids with the goal of maximizing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-09 Diddigi Raghuram Bharadwaj , Sai Koti Reddy Danda , Krishnasuri Narayanam , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Pairwise Choice Markov Chains (PCMC) have been recently introduced to overcome limitations of choice models based on traditional axioms unable to express empirical observations from modern behavior economics like context effects occurring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Alix Lhéritier

A classical learning setting typically concerns an agent/student who collects data, or observations, from a system in order to estimate a certain property of interest. Correctional learning is a type of cooperative teacher-student framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Inês Lourenço , Rebecka Winqvist , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

In this paper, we consider the optimal stopping problem on semi-Markov processes (SMPs) with finite horizon, and aim to establish the existence and computation of optimal stopping times. To achieve the goal, we first develop the main…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-16 Fang Chen , Xianping Guo , Zhong-Wei Liao

We consider the problem of minimizing a certainty equivalent of the total or discounted cost over a finite and an infinite time horizon which is generated by a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). The certainty equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

We propose a very efficient method for pricing various types of lookback options under Markov models. We utilize the model-free representations of lookback option prices as integrals of first passage probabilities. We combine efficient…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

We present an alternative view for the study of optimal control of partially observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). We first revisit the traditional (and by now standard) separated-design method of reducing the problem to fully…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Serdar Yüksel

General purpose intelligent learning agents cycle through (complex,non-MDP) sequences of observations, actions, and rewards. On the other hand, reinforcement learning is well-developed for small finite state Markov Decision Processes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Active classification, i.e., the sequential decision-making process aimed at data acquisition for classification purposes, arises naturally in many applications, including medical diagnosis, intrusion detection, and object tracking. In this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Bo Wu , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Suda Bharadwaj , Ufuk Topcu

We address the problem of finding an optimal policy in a Markov decision process under a restricted policy class defined by the convex hull of a set of base policies. This problem is of great interest in applications in which a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Ershad Banijamali , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Nikos Vlassis

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin