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Suppose there are $n$ Markov chains and we need to pay a per-step \emph{price} to advance them. The "destination" states of the Markov chains contain rewards; however, we can only get rewards for a subset of them that satisfy a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Anupam Gupta , Haotian Jiang , Ziv Scully , Sahil Singla

We study the problem of learning Markov decision processes with finite state and action spaces when the transition probability distributions and loss functions are chosen adversarially and are allowed to change with time. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-14 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Peter L. Bartlett , Csaba Szepesvari

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

Revision of the paper previously entitled "Learning a Machine for the Decision in a Partially Observable Markov Universe" In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable universe. Our approach is to directly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Frederic Dambreville

Probabilistic model checking mainly concentrates on techniques for reasoning about the probabilities of certain path properties or expected values of certain random variables. For the quantitative system analysis, however, there is also…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-01-11 Michael Ummels , Christel Baier

We study risk-sensitive control of continuous time Markov chains taking values in discrete state space. We study both finite and infinite horizon problems. In the finite horizon problem we characterise the value function via HJB equation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Mrinal K. Ghosh , Subhamay Saha

Markov reward processes (MRPs) are used to model stochastic phenomena arising in operations research, control engineering, robotics, and artificial intelligence, as well as communication and transportation networks. In many of these cases,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-17 Ashwin Pananjady , Martin J. Wainwright

Value-at-risk (VaR), also known as quantile, is a crucial risk measure in finance and other fields. However, optimizing VaR metrics in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is challenging because VaR is non-additive and the traditional dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Li Xia , Jinyan Pan

We present the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in the context of Markov chains and Markov decision processes with reachability and mean-payoff objectives. CVaR quantifies risk by means of the expectation of the worst p-quantile. As such it…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

We consider an infinite horizon optimal control problem for a continuous-time Markov chain $X$ in a finite set $I$ with noise-free partial observation. The observation process is defined as $Y_t = h(X_t)$, $t \geq 0$, where $h$ is a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Alessandro Calvia

This note re-visits the rolling-horizon control approach to the problem of a Markov decision process (MDP) with infinite-horizon discounted expected reward criterion. Distinguished from the classical value-iteration approach, we develop an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Hyeong Soo Chang

This paper studies the problem of the deterministic version of the Verification Theorem for the optimal m-states switching in infinite horizon under Markovian framework with arbitrary switching cost functions. The problem is formulated as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-15 Brahim El Asri

We consider a risk-sensitive continuous-time Markov decision process over a finite time duration. Under the conditions that can be satisfied by unbounded transition and cost rates, we show the existence of an optimal policy, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Xin Guo , Qiuli Liu , Yi Zhang

We consider a piecewise deterministic Markov decision process, where the expected exponential utility of total (nonnegative) cost is to be minimized. The cost rate, transition rate and post-jump distributions are under control. The state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Xin Guo , Yi Zhang

We study infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) where the decision maker evaluates each of her strategies by aggregating the infinite stream of expected stage-rewards. The crucial feature of our approach is that the aggregation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-05 János Flesch , Arkadi Predtetchinski , William D Sudderth , Xavier Venel

We present an efficient reinforcement learning algorithm that learns the optimal admission control policy in a partially observable queueing network. Specifically, only the arrival and departure times from the network are observable, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-07 Jonatha Anselmi , Bruno Gaujal , Louis-Sébastien Rebuffi

This paper studies the estimation of network weights for a class of systems with binary-valued observations. In these systems only quantized observations are available for the network estimation. Furthermore, system states are coupled with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

A Markov decision problem is called reversible if the stationary controlled Markov chain is reversible under every stationary Markovian strategy. A natural application in which such problems arise is in the control of Metropolis-Hastings…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Venkat Anantharam

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

The Markov Decision Process (MDP) is a popular framework for sequential decision-making problems, and uncertainty quantification is an essential component of it to learn optimal decision-making strategies. In particular, a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Jiaqi Guo , Chon Wai Ho , Sumeetpal S. Singh