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We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

We propose a computationally and statistically efficient procedure for segmenting univariate data under piecewise linearity. The proposed moving sum (MOSUM) methodology detects multiple change points where the underlying signal undergoes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Joonpyo Kim , Hee-Seok Oh , Haeran Cho

Extracted event data from information systems often contain a variety of process executions making the data complex and difficult to comprehend. Unlike current research which only identifies the variability over time, we focus on other…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Ali Norouzifar , Majid Rafiei , Marcus Dees , Wil van der Aalst

In this paper, I propose a general algorithm for multiple change point analysis via multivariate distribution-free nonparametric testing based on the concept of ranks that are defined by measure transportation. Multivariate ranks and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Amanda Ng

This paper concerns the long term behaviour of a growth model describing a random sequential deposition of particles on a finite graph. The probability of allocating a particle at a vertex is proportional to a log-linear function of numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

We consider the estimation of Dirichlet Process Mixture Models (DPMMs) in distributed environments, where data are distributed across multiple computing nodes. A key advantage of Bayesian nonparametric models such as DPMMs is that they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Ruohui Wang , Dahua Lin

We propose a method to infer the presence and location of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in a general metric space, where change-points are viewed as locations at which the distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-15 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

Piecewise constant functions describe a variety of real-world phenomena in domains ranging from chemistry to manufacturing. In practice, it is often required to confidently identify the locations of the abrupt changes in these functions as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-15 Joseph Lazzaro , Ciara Pike-Burke

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang

In this paper, we propose a new method for offline change-point detection on some parameters of the distribution of a random vector. We introduce a penalized maximum likelihood approach that can be efficiently computed by a dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Lucas Prates , Renan B Lemes , Tábita Hünemeier , Florencia Leonardi

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Factor Analysis has traditionally been utilized across diverse disciplines to extrapolate latent traits that influence the behavior of multivariate observed variables. Historically, the focus has been on analyzing data from a single study,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Antonio Canale

Machine learning models are often evaluated using point estimates of performance metrics such as accuracy, F1 score, or mean squared error. Such summaries fail to capture the inherent variability induced by stochastic elements of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Christoph Lehmann , Yahor Paromau

In this article, we consider change point inference for high dimensional linear models. For change point detection, given any subgroup of variables, we propose a new method for testing the homogeneity of corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Bin Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

We study the problem of change point localization in dynamic networks models. We assume that we observe a sequence of independent adjacency matrices of the same size, each corresponding to a realization of an unknown inhomogeneous Bernoulli…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo
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