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We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

With the rise of increasingly powerful and user-facing NLP systems, there is growing interest in assessing whether they have a good representation of uncertainty by evaluating the quality of their predictive distribution over outcomes. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Joris Baan , Raquel Fernández , Barbara Plank , Wilker Aziz

Thanks to its favorable properties, the multivariate normal distribution is still largely employed for modeling phenomena in various scientific fields. However, when the number of components $p$ is of the same asymptotic order as the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Caizhu Huang , Claudia Di Caterina , Nicola Sartori

After reviewing a large body of literature on the modeling of bivariate discrete distributions with finite support, \cite{Gee20} made a compelling case for the use of $I$-projections in the sense of \cite{Csi75} as a sound way to attempt to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Ivan Kojadinovic , Tommaso Martini

Given a set of several inputs into a system (e.g., independent variables characterizing stimuli) and a set of several stochastically non-independent outputs (e.g., random variables describing different aspects of responses), how can one…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-04 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

We formulate necessary and sufficient conditions for an arbitrary discrete probability distribution to factor according to an undirected graphical model, or a log-linear model, or other more general exponential models. This result…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Dan Geiger , Christopher Meek , Bernd Sturmfels

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

This paper studies the problem of {\em learning} the probability distribution $P_X$ of a discrete random variable $X$ using indirect and sequential samples. At each time step, we choose one of the possible $K$ functions, $g_1, \ldots, g_K$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Samarth Gupta , Gauri Joshi , Osman Yağan

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

To begin with, it is pointed out that the form of the quantum probabil- ity formula originates in the very initial state of the object system as seen when the state is expanded with the eigen-projectors of the measured ob- servable. Making…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-23 Fedor Herbut

The aim of this paper is to show a possibility to identify multivariate distribution by means of specially constructed one-dimensional random variable. We give some inequalities which may appear to helpful for a construction of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Lev B. Klebanov , Irina V. Volchenkova

In the case of finite measures on finite spaces, we state conditions under which {\phi}- projections are continuously differentiable. When the set on which one wishes to {\phi}- project is convex, we show that the required assumptions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-18 Gery Geenens , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tommaso Martini

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Dispersion is a fundamental concept in statistics, yet standard approaches - especially via stochastic orders - face limitations in the discrete setting. In particular, the classical dispersive order, well-established for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

In this work, we revisit the problem of uniformity testing of discrete probability distributions. A fundamental problem in distribution testing, testing uniformity over a known domain has been addressed over a significant line of works, and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Tuğkan Batu , Clément L. Canonne

Finding the underlying probability distributions of a set of observed sequences under the constraint that each sequence is generated i.i.d by a distinct distribution is considered. The number of distributions, and hence the number of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Sara Shahi , Daniela Tuninetti , Natasha Devroye

In this paper, we discuss some theoretical results and properties of a discrete version of the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. We present a proof of the unimodality of this model. Moreover, results on moments, quantile function, reliability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Filidor Vilca , Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Luis Sánchez , Jeremias Leão

Consider observation of a phenomenon of interest subject to selective sampling due to a censoring mechanism regulated by some other variable. In this context, an extensive literature exists linked to the so-called Heckman selection model. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-14 Adelchi Azzalini , Hyoung-Moon Kim , Hea-Jung Kim

We introduce methods to bound the mean of a discrete distribution (or finite population) based on sample data, for random variables with a known set of possible values. In particular, the methods can be applied to categorical data with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet