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One of the cornerstones in combating the HIV pandemic is being able to assess the current state and evolution of local HIV epidemics. This remains a complex problem, as many HIV infected individuals remain unaware of their infection status,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-24 Pieter Libin , Nassim Versbraegen , Ana B. Abecasis , Perpetua Gomes , Tom Lenaerts , Ann Nowé

A phylogeny describes the evolutionary history of an evolving population. Evolutionary search algorithms can perfectly track the ancestry of candidate solutions, illuminating a population's trajectory through the search space. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Alexander Lalejini , Marcos Sanson , Jack Garbus , Matthew Andres Moreno , Emily Dolson

We propose a class of dynamic vine copula models. This is an extension of static vine copulas and a generalization of dynamic C-vine and D-vine copulas studied by Almeida et al (2016) and Goel and Mehra (2019). Within this class, we allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Vishwali Mhasawade , Nabeel Abdur Rehman , Rumi Chunara

A simple way to model phenotypic evolution is to assume that after splitting, the trait values of the sister species diverge as independent Brownian motions. Relying only on a prior distribution for the underlying species tree (conditioned…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-14 Serik Sagitov , Krzysztof Bartoszek

Discovery of microRNAs (miRNAs) relies on predictive models for characteristic features from miRNA precursors (pre-miRNAs). The short length of miRNA genes and the lack of pronounced sequence features complicate this task. To accommodate…

Understanding the processes that give rise to quantitative measurements associated with molecular sequence data remains an important issue in statistical phylogenetics. Examples of such measurements include geographic coordinates in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-31 Mandev S. Gill , Lam Si Tung Ho , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

We develop a feature allocation model for inference on genetic tumor variation using next-generation sequencing data. Specifically, we record single nucleotide variants (SNVs) based on short reads mapped to human reference genome and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Juhee Lee , Peter Müller , Kamalakar Gulukota , Yuan Ji

Phylogenetic networks provide a means of describing the evolutionary history of sets of species believed to have undergone hybridization or gene flow during their evolution. The mutation process for a set of such species can be modeled as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Travis Barton , Elizabeth Gross , Colby Long , Joseph Rusinko

The complex and computationally expensive nature of landscape evolution models pose significant challenges in the inference and optimisation of unknown parameters. Bayesian inference provides a methodology for estimation and uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , Arpit Kapoor , R. Dietmar Müller

Variable selection has played a critical role in modern statistical learning and scientific discoveries. Numerous regularization and Bayesian variable selection methods have been developed in the past two decades for variable selection, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-04 Travis Canida , Hongjie Ke , Shuo Chen , Zhenayo Ye , Tianzhou Ma

We derive a novel generative model from iterative Gaussian posterior inference. By treating the generated sample as an unknown variable, we can formulate the sampling process in the language of Bayesian probability. Our model uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Marten Lienen , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

High-dimensional categorical data arise in diverse scientific domains and are often accompanied by covariates. Latent class regression models are routinely used in such settings, reducing dimensionality by assuming conditional independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yuren Zhou , Yuqi Gu , David B. Dunson

Identifying variables associated with clinical endpoints is of much interest in clinical trials. With the rapid growth of cell and gene therapy (CGT) and therapeutics for ultra-rare diseases, there is an urgent need for statistical methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Lingxuan Kong , Yumin Zhang , Chenkun Wang , Yaoyuan Vincent Tan

Phylogenetics, the inference of evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data such as DNA, is an enterprise that yields valuable evolutionary understanding of many biological systems. Bayesian phylogenetic algorithms, which approximate a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-27 Vu Dinh , Aaron E. Darling , Frederick A. Matsen

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is currently done via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with simple proposal mechanisms. This hinders exploration efficiency and often requires long runs to deliver accurate posterior estimates. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Biological data sets are often high-dimensional, noisy, and governed by complex interactions among sparse signals. This poses major challenges for interpretability and reliable feature selection. Tasks such as identifying motif interactions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Marta S. Lemanczyk , Lucas Kock , Johanna Schlimme , Nadja Klein , Bernhard Y. Renard

The paper addresses joint sparsity selection in the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix for high-dimensional multivariate regression models in the Bayesian paradigm. The selected sparsity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Srijata Samanta , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez
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